Quote:
Originally posted by lumberjim
of the varicella incedences, 5% are people over 20yrs old....however, 55% of ALL varicella deaths occur in this age group.
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so i was thinking about the math here....and of the 4,000,000 cases reported each year, 5% being 20+ yr old patiens represent 200,000 cases. if 55% of the 100 annual chpx deaths is 55 deaths among 20+ yr olds, that means that if you get it after 20 yrs old, you have a .000275 chance of dying from it
if you are in the other age group, (3,8000,000 cases reported) and 45 deaths among them, you have a .0000118421 chance of dying from it.
.000275 vs. .0000118421 chance of dying from varicella
over 20 v. under 20 yrs old
the vaccine is only 85% effective, and although it's
supposed to last 20 years, they've only been doing it for 9, so who knows how long it will REALLY last.
the moral?
make sure your kid gets chicken pox as a child....just like our parents did for us.