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Originally posted by MaggieL
All the stuff I've heard cited along those lines were facts--actual intelligence take--rather than non-facts. There's a difference between intel and rumors, and I'm sure as a military guy you appreciate that.
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True, bad example on my part. I'm just gonna drop it there because we're kinda getting away from what I intended. As a military guy, I was hoping for more of a discussion on pounding the shit out of stuff from the sky vs. sending in the boys on the ground.
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But this is a Arab journalist quoting an unnamed source. How much credibility is that worth?
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The Arab jounalist said that a) OBL is alive; he was wounded by shrapnel in the shoulder but recovered, and b) that he was living somewhere near the Pakistani border.
a) I believe has a decent amount of credibility because, like you said, that arm appeared wounded in the video. And when we received the video, if I'm not mistaken, our intelligence placed it somewhere in the end-of-December timeframe. So OBL being wounded in the shoulder, then escaping Tora Bora and recovering, seems entirely believable to me. Again, not a fact or definite by any means, just pretty believable.
b) of course is much more foggy, and I will admit that no one who is talking has any sort of idea where he is. Again, I'm gonna drop that one.