[richlevy]

Originally Posted by Undertoad

March 30, 2003, three years and three months ago, you worried about the prospects of a draft in 2-3 years. Since March 2003 things have only gotten worse, and yet a draft is unimaginable without some fantasy escalation.

Basically, because we did not have an occupation force in sufficient numbers to do the job. Tell me how the all volunteer army would have maintained a 400K occupation force for 3 years.

BTW, we may still be there another 5 years, so the only thing that might be off is my timing. %20 is still a reasonable guess for the probability of a draft in the next 8 years my son would probably still be eligible.