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Why is the Hitler invasion of the USSR the valid analogy, and the Roosevelt invasion of Germany not the valid analogy?
He's saying that Hitler's invasion of the USSR coalesced support for Stalin. Is he saying that Bush's invasion of Iraq will coalesce support for Hussein? No. So he's starting out with a bad analogy.
What happens then, apparently, is the worst thing imaginable: the entire region will coalesce in an air of anti-Americanism and Saudi Arabia and Iran "will offer sanctuary for Islamic terrorists and guerrilla fighters."
Oops too late.
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