[W.HI.P]

Originally Posted by Jebediah

If you work for them you can still bet with other agencies

So when you bet what are you going for? Parlays? I was looking at moneyline but unless I'm mistaken with the moneyline at 110 for a winning team you'd have to pick the winner 90% of the time to even break even. That's pretty daunting in the era of parity where any team can win any game. I'm not willing to do that until I compile some stats on how often I can cherrypick select matchups and how often there is an upset in those games.

I chose to bet defencivly.
First of all I put 3 matchups on each bet, each bet pays 7 times your money.
I like to chose 7-8 games and bet them amongst each other in bets of 3's.
in the case of 7 games, its 35 bets, for 8 games, its 56.
This gives me the ease to lose a few matches and still have a hell of a pay day.
The least Pay on any even nfl spread game is 170, 110 is simply not logical unless the opposing bet is at 350. I chose not to go to those edges, but just meet it at its leveled spread with even money on both sides.
with single bets 2 out of 3 will give you a nice profit when the wager is respectful.

Thanks for this thread. You've managed to spur me into retooling my picks spreadsheet for next year to factor in the odds and see if there is an area I can excel (bad pun) at.

Your welcome, it is my pleasure.

PostScriptium: Do you happen to keep (or know a place for) any statistics on things like divisional matchups or home field advantage?

I have this mental thing where i can store vast amounts of information, but if i need to see anything regarding NFL stats, i go straight to Yahoo's Sports page as it is accurate and has an easy access method to info.