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Fer me, maybe what it boils down to is: logic and reason are the good tools we have to work stuff out, but we completely lack the understanding of so much that we usually mess it up even when we think we've gotten it right.
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Damn UT, I was working a response last night when I gave it up due to falling asleep. I said something very similar in about ten times as many words...
There comes a point when it's just overanalyzing anyway. It's tough to know when that point is. End of the day though, effect means more than defining the best possible parameters. For example, in my younger days I played a lot of Street Fighter II. This guy with an IQ well over 160 had studied it and read all kinds of things about the fine details of the game. He used it to tell me why stuff couldn't happen, after it did. "Blanka's standing strong punch is faster than Guile's low forward kick! There's no way you can hit me first!" He'd say it with passion and certainty too. I'd take a long drink of my coke, look him in the eye and say, "Really? That's funny, I can do it again if you like." His data came from the programmers. It was good. It was also a waste of time. For all his info I was just a better player.
When you hit this point using "logic" just becomes an exercise in mental masturbation.