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We won't know we've passed the peak until we've been past it for a while (a few years). We may have already passed it, or it could happen between now and 2015. A downturn in world economies will delay it for a time.
Alaska peaked in 1988; it is now producing at half the 1988 levels. North America, Europe and Asia have all peaked. Saudi Arabia is expected to plateau within a few years (Sadad al Husseini).
If you buy an SUV, you can make the peak come sooner.
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