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This one is unusual in that it hasn't come any closer to the coast. That's due in part to an intense high pressure system down south which is pushing against it so it's not turning but keeping a relatively straight course. They expect it to go out to sea slightly, lose intensity and then come back to land as a low pressure system with strong winds and lots of rain.
It's unpredictable at the moment though. Yesterday they suggested it would have dropped to a cat 3/2 by now. They were wrong.
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