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Undertoad · 10-23-2009, 06:01 AM

My pet theory is that the oddsmakers are taking your pet theory into account now.

I just looked at last year's standings against the spread. Teams with poor records do poorly against the spread and teams with good records do well against the spread. Eight teams had 5 wins or fewer, and none of them had a winning record against the spread. Eleven teams had 11 wins or more (including playoffs) and only 2 of them had losing records against the spread.

This seems to be counter-intuitive as under the W.HI.P theory, people should be betting with winning teams and betting against losing teams.

10-23-2009, 06:01 AM	#1345
Undertoad Radical Centrist Join Date: Jan 2001 Location: Cottage of Prussia Posts: 31,423	My pet theory is that the oddsmakers are taking your pet theory into account now. I just looked at last year's standings against the spread. Teams with poor records do poorly against the spread and teams with good records do well against the spread. Eight teams had 5 wins or fewer, and none of them had a winning record against the spread. Eleven teams had 11 wins or more (including playoffs) and only 2 of them had losing records against the spread. This seems to be counter-intuitive as under the W.HI.P theory, people should be betting with winning teams and betting against losing teams.