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Well, that's the trick. Try your best to figure that out, but don't beat yourself up if it doesn't go the way you planned.
Plan carefully, making your decision based on all available data, work hard to support that, but once the decision is made -- it's out of your hands and the outcome is no longer your responsibility. Only your work in getting up to that point is yours to claim. Success or failure belongs to the universe, not to individuals.
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per·son \ˈpər-sən\ (noun) - an ephemeral collection of small, irrational decisions
The fun thing about evolution (and science in general) is that it happens whether you believe in it or not.
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