The Cellar - View Single Post - if News not 'fake' -why was Trump loss predicted?

Flint · 02-28-2017, 12:15 PM

Of course, the real question is, "can we trust polls?" but... because mainstream media continuously seeks to build a narrative based on polling data, an erosion of our confidence in polling data equals a valid reason to doubt the veracity of what they're telling us is happening in the world.

Step one: major polling aggregates predict Clinton victory as about 90-100% certain. (With the exception of Nate Silver's 538 which gave Clinton a 71.4% chance.)

Step two: Trump wins, everyone is shocked, and the world changes overnight--with no warning!

Step three: "..fool me once, shame on, shame on you. Fool me—you can't get fooled again.”

Today the media is telling me that support for Obamacare is higher than ever. According to polls.

:::internally remembering that one time when all the polls were wrong:::

Trump saying 'fake news' is ridiculous, on a factual level, but it works on a gut level because the news betrayed us.

02-28-2017, 12:15 PM	#1
Flint Snowflake Join Date: Mar 2006 Location: Dystopia Posts: 13,136	if News not 'fake' -why was Trump loss predicted? Of course, the real question is, "can we trust polls?" but... because mainstream media continuously seeks to build a narrative based on polling data, an erosion of our confidence in polling data equals a valid reason to doubt the veracity of what they're telling us is happening in the world. Step one: major polling aggregates predict Clinton victory as about 90-100% certain. (With the exception of Nate Silver's 538 which gave Clinton a 71.4% chance.) Step two: Trump wins, everyone is shocked, and the world changes overnight--with no warning! Step three: "..fool me once, shame on, shame on you. Fool me—you can't get fooled again.” Today the media is telling me that support for Obamacare is higher than ever. According to polls. :::internally remembering that one time when all the polls were wrong::: Trump saying 'fake news' is ridiculous, on a factual level, but it works on a gut level because the news betrayed us. __________________ **************** There's a level of facility that everyone needs to accomplish, and from there it's a matter of deciding for yourself how important ultra-facility is to your expression. ... I found, like Joseph Campbell said, if you just follow whatever gives you a little joy or excitement or awe, then you're on the right track. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Terry Bozzio** Last edited by Flint; 02-28-2017 at 12:23 PM.