The Cellar  

Go Back   The Cellar > Main > Nothingland
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

Nothingland Something about nothing - game threads, diversions, time-wasters

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 11-08-2007, 10:57 AM   #886
HungLikeJesus
Only looks like a disaster tourist
 
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: above 7,000 feet
Posts: 7,208
Quote:
Originally Posted by lookout123 View Post
...and remember, the best returns are always in the two year period following a recession.
Are we officially in a recession (outside of Detroit, of course)?
__________________
Keep Your Bodies Off My Lawn

SteveDallas's Random Thread Picker.
HungLikeJesus is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-08-2007, 11:06 AM   #887
ZenGum
Doctor Wtf
 
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: Badelaide, Baustralia
Posts: 12,861
Quote:
Originally Posted by HungLikeJesus View Post
Are we officially in a recession (outside of Detroit, of course)?
I think ... not ..........yet.

Big housing slowdowns almost always end in recessions. Oil prices going through the roof often leads to recession. I'm betting on it.

Meanwhile, I've watched the value of the yen drop by about 20% in the last year, taking my salary and savings with it.
Your recession might be the thing that triggers a turnaround. I'll send you a food package if it does.
__________________
Shut up and hug. MoreThanPretty, Nov 5, 2008.
Just because I'm nominally polite, does not make me a pussy. Sundae Girl.
ZenGum is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-08-2007, 11:56 AM   #888
HungLikeJesus
Only looks like a disaster tourist
 
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: above 7,000 feet
Posts: 7,208
Quote:
Originally Posted by ZenGum View Post
I think ... not ..........yet.

Big housing slowdowns almost always end in recessions. Oil prices going through the roof often leads to recession. I'm betting on it.

Meanwhile, I've watched the value of the yen drop by about 20% in the last year, taking my salary and savings with it.
Your recession might be the thing that triggers a turnaround. I'll send you a food package if it does.
How long does raw fish stay fresh?
__________________
Keep Your Bodies Off My Lawn

SteveDallas's Random Thread Picker.
HungLikeJesus is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-08-2007, 12:03 PM   #889
glatt
 
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Arlington, VA
Posts: 27,717
Quote:
Originally Posted by lookout123 View Post
quick thoughts for you G:

The fact that you have enough invested that it can take that type of dive...

The fact that you aren't retiring in the next 5 years, means that a downturn is actually good for your portfolio if handled correctly. be defensive against a falling US economy, but don't get out of the market. going to cash rarely works in the long run. you might want to look at big american companies. all sizes of foreign companies. unless you've got the skill or big brass ones, avoid sector bets. look at areas that are being hit hard and decide if you think those companies are solid enough to survive and rebound after a recession ends. buy low sell high. and remember, the best returns are always in the two year period following a recession.
Thanks for the tips. Now is a good time to take a look at my allocations. Haven't looked at them in a year or two. Retirement is a long way off, so I'm not actually upset, but you nobody likes to see their balance go down.
glatt is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-08-2007, 01:11 PM   #890
lookout123
changed his status to single
 
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: Right behind you. No, the other side.
Posts: 10,308
Quote:
Are we officially in a recession (outside of Detroit, of course)?
impossible to tell. the definition of recession is two successive quarters of a shrinking economy, so you never know until you are at least 6 months in. our last recession only lasted 8 months, so technically, we were only aware of it for 2 months. or something like that. i still get people asking when the recession will end. they look shocked when i tell them that it ended 5.5 years ago.

glatt: if you choose to be a DIY guy there is a book i would suggest by a nationally famous planner. i don't agree with everything, but for a DIYer it is good. can't give you the name, but if you google "buckets of money" you'll find him.

****i have no connection whatsoever with him or his books****
__________________
Getting knocked down is no sin, it's not getting back up that's the sin

Last edited by lookout123; 11-08-2007 at 01:12 PM. Reason: added disclaimer
lookout123 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-08-2007, 05:11 PM   #891
DucksNuts
Bitchy Little Brat
 
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Queensland, Australia
Posts: 5,067
Quote:
Originally Posted by lookout123 View Post
the break in my work that has allowed me to play in the cellar so much for a week has come to an end.

NooooooOooOOOOo...say it isnt so.
DucksNuts is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-08-2007, 05:15 PM   #892
HungLikeJesus
Only looks like a disaster tourist
 
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: above 7,000 feet
Posts: 7,208
So, lookout, if you reached in your pocket and realized that, in addition to a few spare condoms and some pocket lint, you have a spare $50,000, where would you put it?
__________________
Keep Your Bodies Off My Lawn

SteveDallas's Random Thread Picker.
HungLikeJesus is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-08-2007, 05:22 PM   #893
Sundae
polaroid of perfection
 
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: West Yorkshire
Posts: 24,185
Quote:
Originally Posted by HungLikeJesus View Post
So, lookout, if you reached in your pocket and realized that, in addition to a few spare condoms and some pocket lint, you have a spare $50,000, where would you put it?
In the post. To me. Thank you.

I'm upset because this is the first significant time I've had internet access for a couple of days and I'm TIRED. Bed-time for me before I fall asleep on the keyboard. AND I have 6 new library books to read as well!

Night night chickens x
__________________
Life's hard you know, so strike a pose on a Cadillac
Sundae is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-08-2007, 05:23 PM   #894
kerosene
Touring the facilities
 
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: The plains of Colorado
Posts: 3,476
Quote:
Originally Posted by HungLikeJesus View Post
How long does raw fish stay fresh?
Does this mean we are having sushi for lunch?
kerosene is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-08-2007, 05:37 PM   #895
HungLikeJesus
Only looks like a disaster tourist
 
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: above 7,000 feet
Posts: 7,208
Quote:
Originally Posted by case View Post
Does this mean we are having sushi for lunch?
I don't think we want to wait for ZenGum's care package. But there is a sushi restaurant near my office - just across the parking lot from the hotel.
__________________
Keep Your Bodies Off My Lawn

SteveDallas's Random Thread Picker.
HungLikeJesus is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-08-2007, 05:45 PM   #896
kerosene
Touring the facilities
 
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: The plains of Colorado
Posts: 3,476
Quote:
Originally Posted by HungLikeJesus View Post
I don't think we want to wait for ZenGum's care package. But there is a sushi restaurant near my office - just across the parking lot from the hotel.
As long as it is a classy hotel.
kerosene is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-09-2007, 07:36 AM   #897
lookout123
changed his status to single
 
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: Right behind you. No, the other side.
Posts: 10,308
If it is just $50K that i really don't need for a few years i would split it down the middle with half into a couple international funds and the other half into a couple of carefully researched companies that have had he crap kicked out of them the last 12 months... say some financials. but i'd be very very careful about trying to catch that falling knife.
__________________
Getting knocked down is no sin, it's not getting back up that's the sin
lookout123 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-10-2007, 01:58 PM   #898
bluecuracao
in a mood, not cupcake
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Philadelphia
Posts: 3,034
It's dreary and cold, my throat's sore, I'm tense and cranky from too much caffeine, and some machinery outside my window is rattling and giving me a huge headache.

When does happy hour start on Saturday?
bluecuracao is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-10-2007, 11:26 PM   #899
monster
I hear them call the tide
 
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: Perpetual Chaos
Posts: 30,852
eek!
__________________
The most difficult thing is the decision to act, the rest is merely tenacity Amelia Earhart
monster is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-10-2007, 11:56 PM   #900
binky
all hollowed out
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Ridgecrest, CA
Posts: 982
Quote:
Originally Posted by Aliantha View Post
If I just want to look up stuff I've been involved in, I just look up my own posts and see who's responded.

Today I feel upset because I have a nasty nasty cold and I haven't had a good sleep in two nights now, so I'm very grumpy.
Time for Nyquil
__________________
The meanest Mom EVER!!!!
binky is offline   Reply With Quote
Reply

Tags
swiss


Currently Active Users Viewing This Thread: 416 (0 members and 416 guests)
 

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump

All times are GMT -5. The time now is 06:08 PM.


Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.8.1
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.