Yes. Same grade as Minifob, who knew him, though not well.
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The logarithmic graph actually minimizes the difference. At first glance, I thought the Cases/Day line wasn't as different in scale as I would have thought (though, of course, the direction change was the important thing).
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The graph came out of my firehose feeds out there... but the raw country-level stats are collected at Worldometers covid page.
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In an honest world: we'd see a whole whack of retractions, now and in the future, but it ain't so we won't. |
Why would we see "a whole whack of retractions", are you saying you don't believe the numbers?
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I can't prove it. Chalk it up to my mean-spirited, suspicious nature. But why would anyone inflate (infection, death) numbers, Henry? Money, it's a hit Don't give me that do goody good bullshit |
money how?
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Most interesting to compare the current IHME models for...
Sweden - pop. ~10M, projected 13,259 deaths Denmark - pop. ~5.5M, projected 1,575 deaths Norway - pop. ~5.5M, projected 925 deaths Finland - pop. ~5.5M, projected 226 deaths Sweden has 79 ICU beds available and the model says they will need about 3400. :thepain: These are just models, and we can't predict the future accurately, and we don't know what the situation will be long run... still,... |
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How does that work in India...
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Any list of actual deaths will be an undercount, due to the lack of testing. Puerto Rico is an undercount, as there are certainly more than one person who died of it that wasn't tested for it.
Estimates may be over or under, depending on the model, but tallies will be under. |
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Global death numbers could be low cuz, for example, China is a lyin' sack commie fest who lie just about everything... ...or... ...global death numbers could be high cuz some of those deaths had nuthin' to do with wu flu complications. Global recovery numbers are low cuz, again, I'm bettin' way more folks were infected and were asymptomatic. Locale numbers (infections & deaths) I'm bettin' are inflated, by a little or by a lot, I can't say. ----- money how? How is political process. Why is greasin' the squeaky wheel (or, if you prefer, ...to each according to [claimed] need). |
Lots of stuff in this podcast relevant to this thread and the COVID politics thread. |
So, do you really think this is overblown and not much more serious than seasonal flu?
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Weeding out complications...
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