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-   -   A 'cane? wen duz come de 'cane? (http://cellar.org/showthread.php?t=17370)

Clodfobble 08-31-2008 09:51 PM

Chocolatl and Kitsune are in Florida, they should be well out of the path, and Merc's in Georgia, which is closer but still safe I think. Buster's right in the line of fire in Mississippi, like he was last time.

We'll be affected not by the storm itself, but by the fact that thousands upon thousands of evacuees have already descended upon Houston, and they're beginning to overflow up to Austin as hotels and other resources are straining.

sweetwater 08-31-2008 10:00 PM

The local newspaper's headlines says that officials are preparing for evacuees from Gustav to come into the area, a distance of about 750 miles. I guess everybody will be helping out this time. Best wishes to Cellar folk and families!

Nirvana 08-31-2008 10:19 PM

Gustav looks like a Cyclopic grinning monster in this weather view

http://www.weather.com/maps/news/atl...hr_tropWx_golf

xoxoxoBruce 09-01-2008 12:47 AM

1 Attachment(s)
Ouch

Sundae 09-01-2008 06:01 AM

I was about to post, "OMG that looks just like..."
Hey, it's Monday. My common sense doesn't wake up til mid-afternoon.

This thread reminds me of the huge scale of America - something that I forget very often because the people here are easily accessible. I thought I was undertaking quite a journey when I was planning to visit Limey on the Isle of Arran. And here are people evacuating 750 miles! That's nearly Lands End to John O' Groats!

FStop 09-01-2008 09:27 AM

From Foxnews.com....then properly interpreted.
 
1 Attachment(s)
Hadouken!! :mad2:

xoxoxoBruce 09-01-2008 10:18 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sundae Girl (Post 479857)
This thread reminds me of the huge scale of America... here are people evacuating 750 miles! That's nearly Lands End to John O' Groats!

That's why I can't go to England... it would make me look fat. ;)

Sundae 09-01-2008 10:53 AM

I'd work some of it off for you :joylove:

sweetwater 09-01-2008 03:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by xoxoxoBruce (Post 479897)
That's why I can't go to England... it would make me look fat. ;)

:lol2: :lol2:

Chocolatl 09-01-2008 05:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ZenGum (Post 479778)
Can we have a roll-call of dwellars who live in the Hurricane-prone areas, so they can log in and tell us how thigns are for them?

As Clodfobble said, Kitsune and I were thankfully well out of the cone for this one. We've had a few patches of rain and wind off of Gustav this weekend, but nothing major. Last I checked, we were inside the cone of probability for Hannah, so I'll make sure to check back in and let y'all know what happens.

Safe thoughts and best wishes for the rest of you Gulf Coast dwellars, this season.

busterb 09-01-2008 06:25 PM

Lost power at 1pm for hour and 1/2. So far just a little wind and rain for the next few days. Thanks for asking. bb

ZenGum 09-01-2008 08:09 PM

Thanks for telling BB.

Urbane Guerrilla 09-02-2008 01:48 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by classicman (Post 479748)
Got anything new to say there T-dub? . . . you need to get some new material. You've been kickin' this dead horse too long.

It's because he likes the smell. A fine example of spin...

Yeah, I think he's perverse too.

jinx 09-02-2008 08:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by xoxoxoBruce (Post 479751)
Just move the port back to lands end.

Isn't that line kinda hard to define in that area?
Lots of stuff on the news about how much hasn't been rebuilt in 3 years. On the one hand you have the "it's ridiculous that it hasn't been rebuilt, and it certainly would have been if it were a richer/whiter area.
On the other hand you have people all over the country saying they don't want to pay to rebuild homes that are below sea level.

Personally, I think the workings of the port are important, and rebuilding it should be a national priority. I also think Katrina helped illustrate the problems with having large percentages of the population dependent upon the government for everything.... kinda fucks things up for everyone.

classicman 09-02-2008 09:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jinx (Post 480309)
On the other hand you have people all over the country saying they don't want to pay to rebuild homes that are below sea level.

Personally, I think the workings of the port are important, and rebuilding it should be a national priority. I also think Katrina helped illustrate the problems with having large percentages of the population dependent upon the government for everything.... kinda fucks things up for everyone.

I agree 100% Well said.

monster 09-02-2008 10:10 PM

That port is hugely busy -we saw it for ourselves just a few weeks ago.

tw 09-03-2008 08:46 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by classicman (Post 480321)
I agree 100% Well said.

So we should locate more people 20 feet below sea level? Why is New Orleans there? It is well inland AND has sufficient land above sea level. Land 20 feet below sea level (the ninth ward) is best permitted to become part of New Orleans' protection system. Plenty of land exists nearby to provide port workers. Why is the port of New Orleans not below sea level? Because useful parts of a port city (including where its workers live) should be above sea level.

Why was Katrina so destructive to the ninth ward? Manmade changes compromised the natural protection system - why New Orleans was located so far inland. Mississippi River Gulf Outlet canal gave Katrina an unimpeded path directly into the ninth ward and St Bernard’s Parish. The reason that New Orleans was located so far inland was completely compromised by foolish mistakes such as MrGO.

There is no reason to rebuild the ninth ward. No rebuilt ninth ward means workers will still be available in New Orleans after major storms AND the port is better protected from those storms.

Nobody said the port of New Orleans should not exist. The post exists because it is above sea level. But the port should be constructed to remain functional even after major storms. That means no homes 10 and 20 feet below sea level. What is classicman advocating? More homes 10 and 20 feet below sea level.

classicman 09-03-2008 12:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tw (Post 480413)
What is classicman advocating? More homes 10 and 20 feet below sea level.

Uh - as usual you misread what I said. I am advocating NOT building there - it makes no logical sense whatsoever.

lookout123 09-03-2008 12:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by classicman (Post 480524)
Uh - as usual you didn't read what I said.

fixed

tw 09-03-2008 02:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by classicman (Post 480524)
Uh - as usual you misread what I said.

I read exactly what you said. And, just like UG, it was that stupid. If you had a grasp, then you would have known how accurate my post was. Oh. Your wacko extremist bias will not let you read with intelligence. Feel right at home you penis head. A person so dumb and brainwahsed as to be a George Jr admirer?

classicman - why do you bother to post. You don't even have a college degree - you dumb fuck. See how I try to be so friendly in a way you understand?

My previous post is exactly what you meant. Notice you don't even try to post a correction.

lookout123 09-03-2008 03:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tw (Post 480586)
...snip...Feel right at home you penis head...snip...
classicman - why do you bother to post. You don't even have a college degree - you dumb fuck.

well, there's a rational post. off the meds again TWat?

tw 09-03-2008 03:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lookout123 (Post 480589)
well, there's a rational post.

A perfect dupliation of what wacko extremists such as UG post. Makes classicman feel loved.

lookout123 09-03-2008 03:22 PM

do you not even see the irony* in your posts?

*a more cynical dwellar than i might call it hypocrisy, but i'll trust you.

classicman 09-03-2008 04:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tw (Post 480586)
I read exactly what you said. Your wacko extremist bias will not let you read with intelligence. Feel right at home you penis head. A person so dumb and brainwahsed as to be a George Jr admirer?

classicman - why do you bother to post. You don't even have a college degree - you dumb fuck.

Gee tom, That bold stuff is, as you put it "not attacking the poster" is it? :eyebrow: :rolleyes:

Oh and just to let you know you did get one thing right - I don't have A college degree, I have two of them - thank you.

lookout123 09-03-2008 04:13 PM

sure, but were you officer material? /guy who's never served and doesn't understand rank structure/

classicman 09-03-2008 07:55 PM

Who moi??? Fuck no! I leave that to the smart guys like, well like, yeah and um ... fuck it lets go bowling.

classicman 09-03-2008 07:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tw (Post 480629)
As usual, only a wacko extremist must always post profanity. Profanity is common among those with lesser intelligence ~snip~ .


monster 09-03-2008 10:25 PM

tw is so smart! I wish I had the back up of college degrees and all that shit to improve my vocab (is that short for vocational cab-driver?) I reckon I'd stop fucking swearing faster than they'll rebuild NO!

TheMercenary 09-03-2008 10:40 PM

Our threat was Hanna. Ike is right behind her.

We just finished both evacuation plans and prep as well as stay and gut it out plans and prep. There are lots of things that have to get done. Here is a copy of an em I just sent and new person who got stationed down here with us. You have to consider a lot if you are going to stay.

Quote:

Brainstorm (you will have to take notes)

Well did you see the PDF put out by the post. It really was pretty good if you have never prepared for one. I will attach the PDF to this em. The keys are water, food, and dealing with loss of power for at least 3 or 4 days, if you stay. (And of course home defense which I am sure you need not worry about). Water, we got three gallons per person for three days and pretty much keep it stored in our garage all year round. Sooner or later you have to replace it as the things deteriorate and make a mess where ever you store them so keep that in mind when you push them back in the corner near your family picture box in the garage. You can fill your Tubs with water for flushing the toytoy because you guys, like us are on well water, and when the power goes out the well will not be pumping water to your house. Food, lots of canned goods. We have a nice sized propane portable grill (this one http://www.amazon.com/Coleman-9949-7...sg_ai_-2_5_tit ) and a heavy duty one like this (http://www.directcampingstoves.com/product/DB325 ) , so we can cook food, boil water, or make meth. We have also bought big bags of ice and some dry ice to put in the freezers (we have 2 extra freezers) so if we lose power we will get spared a few days before we lose all our food. Candles, batteries (lots) , portable radio with weather band, walkie talkies with a 5 or 10 mile radius (cause cell phones will not be working), and we have a couple of old CB radio's as well so we could commo with others if we needed to. You will need diversionary stuff for the kids to do as well as some good books you have been meaning to read. Pick up all the stuff in the yard that could be embedded in the side of your car, or house, or the neighbors house (not good for neighborly relations). We have a few chain saws, and a few 5 gallon gas cans, axes and saws available to cut the tree off that falls on your house or car or blocks you in. We keep our 4 wheeler gased up and can always get gas out of the boat if we need it, it is topped off at 135 gallons. We have a big assed tarp to cover any inadvertent holes that may develop in the dwelling. Keep all the cars topped off with gas each day so if you do need to bug out you can get away if you need to. Let me tell you that the drive from here to Macon which usually takes about 2.5 hours up I-16 took some people over 16 hours to make in bumper to bumper traffic! The key is that if looks like a big storm leave early! Beat the traffic, the worse thing may be that you might have to turn around and come back if nothing happens, the alternative is not fun, I assure you. People were running out of gas on the side of the road, running out of food, pets running amok... (This was during Floyd) http://query.nytimes.com/gst/fullpag...5AC0A96F958260 http://www.wtoctv.com/Global/category.asp?C=80160

Oh and I almost forgot, lots of beer and liquor!
It looks like we are going to be completely missed by Hanna, keeping our eye on Ike.

barefoot serpent 09-04-2008 11:16 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheMercenary (Post 480763)
Our threat was Hanna. Ike is right behind her.

Ike is already a cat 4 -- a 1000 miles out still -- so either it'll blow itself apart or...

Elspode 09-04-2008 02:17 PM

We got a decent amount of rain out of the remnants of Gustav yesterday. Not torrential, just...persistent. Hope all of our Cellarites who are in Hannah and Ike's way get themselves prepared.

Shawnee123 09-04-2008 02:53 PM

Rain? What in the heck is rain?

My most favorite part of summer is thunderstorms. We haven't had any freaking rain in so long we are in danger of official drought.

Damn Ohio.

lookout123 09-04-2008 02:58 PM

we've actually had quite a few this year. IIRC our monsoon season was really weak last year but has been pretty sweet in '08. The monsoons just don't come in like they used to, though. I'm sure it has something to do with how the city has built up so much.

er, yeah. thanks for asking. no it's ok, me and the voices in my head have conversations like this all the time. it is a side effect of working by myself so much...

Sundae 09-05-2008 03:50 AM

Merc, thanks for the mail (and the enclosed links). It fascinates me. Sorry not to know, but how did Savannah fare after the exodus described in the newspaper article? I guess it wasn't razed to the ground given the gorgeous pictures you post.

If you have a chance to indulge my completely selfish curiousity, please keep us updated on Ike!

Shawnee123 09-05-2008 07:58 AM

IT RAINED LAST NIGHT! I swear I heard all the local foliage breathing a sigh of relief.

HungLikeJesus 09-05-2008 09:46 AM

It's funny when you live somewhere dry and you get rain. I always run to the window and say "It's raining!"

kerosene 09-05-2008 10:08 AM

Yeah, I know what you mean. When I moved here from Ohio in 88, I said "Jeez, you guys are in a worse drought than we were." The people who lived here looked at me like I was on something.

Shawnee123 09-05-2008 10:44 AM

I remember some years ago...I don't know 88 or 89...when we had an official drought. I lived in an apartment in town and the day it finally rained...the entire neighborhood for blocks came outside and stood in it, cheering. It's a really strange thing to not get rain.

I love rain. I should move somewhere soggy.

TheMercenary 09-05-2008 11:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sundae Girl (Post 481137)
Merc, thanks for the mail (and the enclosed links). It fascinates me. Sorry not to know, but how did Savannah fare after the exodus described in the newspaper article? I guess it wasn't razed to the ground given the gorgeous pictures you post.

If you have a chance to indulge my completely selfish curiousity, please keep us updated on Ike!

There was absolutely no damage to Savannah. The storm took a right hook and moved up hitting Charleston. They took it pretty hard.

TheMercenary 09-05-2008 11:09 AM

We are about to get a bunch of rain. I am stuck at work while the wife and kid are going to be home. As long as we don't get many tornados from it and no trees fall on our house we should be good to go.

http://www.intellicast.com/National/...2&animate=true

http://www.intellicast.com/Storm/Hur...m=1&type=track

Maui Nick 09-05-2008 01:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sundae Girl (Post 457797)
I want to be one too!
I think Paloma sounds the meanest. But Bertha sounds the wettest.

Hmmmm - I wonder if I can get odds on that?

You'd lose that bet.

Fay=dumped lotsa water here.
Hanna=annoyed us, then left.
Ike=ummm, actually ... he can go somewhere else as far as I'm concerned.

My list of tropical cyclones I have surfed in got another entry today. I don't believe Ike will be as kind as the other two I've taken on this year.:yelsick:

TheMercenary 09-05-2008 04:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Maui Nick (Post 481337)
You'd lose that bet.

Fay=dumped lotsa water here.
Hanna=annoyed us, then left.
Ike=ummm, actually ... he can go somewhere else as far as I'm concerned.

My list of tropical cyclones I have surfed in got another entry today. I don't believe Ike will be as kind as the other two I've taken on this year.:yelsick:

I'd agree with that. Hanna is skirting by us with some tropical gusts and outer rain bands. NC and SC are going to get a spanking.

Ike, that is another thing all together.

Urbane Guerrilla 09-06-2008 05:23 AM

How amusing. Really, royally, we are amused!
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by tw (Post 480586)
And, just like UG, it was that stupid. If you had a grasp, then you would have known how accurate my post was. Oh. Your wacko extremist bias will not let you read with intelligence. Feel right at home you penis head. A person so dumb and brainwahsed as to be a George Jr admirer?

classicman - why do you bother to post. You don't even have a college degree - you dumb fuck. See how I try to be so friendly in a way you understand?

Tw, the chorus to your theme song should run, "Come flail away, come flail away, come flail away with me..." and anyone caring to regard the imagery as that of mental masturbation is welcome to.

It's remarkable how unreceptive you are to the idea that your handling of emotion may be just a trifle subadult. We do know that means your mind is bad and your counsel likely pretty worthless. You want to imagine a worst enemy? Look in the mirror; you'll see him there, every wart, every pimple, every jot and every tittie.

TheMercenary 09-11-2008 05:27 PM

Texass coast is going to have a blow. Anyone on here from down that way?

Shawnee123 09-11-2008 05:27 PM

I know Flint and Clod are both Texans but they've been here today so I don't think they're near the path.

tw 09-11-2008 06:49 PM

Ike has potential of getting fierce tonight. Gulf water temperatures in that region are well above 30 degrees C - topping off ocean temperature charts. Ike has shifted to spend time where the Gulf is warmest (nearer the flock of oil platforms) and where upper atmosphere wind sheer is minimal. Wave heights even when Ike was only category 2 have reached 30 feet.

Flood plain maps - I can only find maps for the Sabine Pass, Orange, Beauford areas of TX. Relevant would be flooding maps for Galveston and farther south to appreciate how far inland a category 3 (or higher) hurricane will flow. These maps also show evacuation routes that are least likely to flood.

tw 09-11-2008 08:23 PM

This warning from the National Hurricane Center:
Quote:

BECAUSE OF THE VERY LARGE EXPANSE OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...IKE WILL CREATE A STORM SURGE WELL IN EXCESS OF WHAT WOULD NORMALLY BE ASSOCIATED WITH A STORM OF ITS INTENSITY.

classicman 09-11-2008 08:49 PM

I have some extended family there - they have all left and are staying at hotels through the weekend.

HungLikeJesus 09-11-2008 09:51 PM

tw - are you in the path of this storm?

Clodfobble 09-11-2008 10:09 PM

My stepkids are in Houston, but it's the northwest end of the city, a good several hours from Galveston. I don't think anyone in their area is evacuating or expecting flooding, but they're prepared for a hell of a thunderstorm.

HungLikeJesus 09-11-2008 10:15 PM

The models are calling for Ike to be a Category 1 well inland, then curve around and head for Monster in Ann Arbor, Michigan, or maybe down to Ohio to visit Shawnee and Brianna.

Ibby 09-12-2008 05:23 AM

1 Attachment(s)
We've got a supertyphoon moving in on us here in taipei.
it's batten-down-the-hatches time.
Quote:

WTCI RCTP 120900 =
WARNING VALID 130900Z =
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 3 HOURS =
TYPHOON 200813 (SINLAKU 200813) WARNING =
POSITION 120900Z AT TWO THREE POINT SIX NORTH ( 23.6N ) ONE TWO THREE POINT EIGHT EAST ( 123.8E ) =
MOVEMENT NEXT 24HRS NW BECOMING WNW 9KM/HR
MIN SURFACE PRESSURE 925 HPA =
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR CENTER 51 METER PER SECOND GUST 63 METER PER SECOND =
RADIUS OF OVER 15M/S WINDS 250 KM =
FORECAST POSITION =
12HRS VALID AT 122100Z AT TWO FOUR POINT TWO NORTH ( 24.2N ) ONE TWO THREE POINT ZERO EAST ( 123.0E )=
24HRS VALID AT 130900Z AT TWO FOUR POINT SIX NORTH ( 24.6N ) ONE TWO TWO POINT TWO EAST ( 122.2E )=
48HRS VALID AT 140900Z AT TWO FIVE POINT NINE NORTH ( 25.9N ) ONE TWO ONE POINT EIGHT EAST ( 121.8E )=
72HRS VALID AT 150900Z AT TWO SEVEN POINT ONE NORTH ( 27.1N ) ONE TWO TWO POINT FIVE EAST ( 122.5E )
Quote:

0600UTC 12 September 2008
Center Location 23.4N 124.1E
Movement NNW 13km/hr
Minimum Pressure 925hPa
Maximum Wind Speed 51m/s
Gust 63m/s
Radius of 15m/s 250km
Radius of 25m/s 100km

Shawnee123 09-12-2008 08:58 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by HungLikeJesus (Post 483474)
The models are calling for Ike to be a Category 1 well inland, then curve around and head for Monster in Ann Arbor, Michigan, or maybe down to Ohio to visit Shawnee and Brianna.

Sweet!

Sundae 09-12-2008 09:28 AM

We actually get visited by the tail end of some here in the British Isles. They come up the Gulf Stream.

Nothing like you get of course. But then we are a sensible country, with sensible weather [/AlMurray]

tw 09-12-2008 10:38 AM

Better news from the National Hurricane Center:
Quote:

RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT AND MICROWAVE DATA INDICATE THAT IKE HAS NOT DEVELOPED A TIGHT INNER CORE AS ANTICIPATED.
It may only strike as a category 2.

However Galveston authorities are saying if you stay in a one or two story house, you will die. They are that blunt.

Shawnee123 09-12-2008 10:50 AM

I saw the headline on CNN.com "Ike may bring certain death." Well, which is it? It either "may" or it's "certain."

HungLikeJesus 09-12-2008 11:04 AM

Shawnee, you beat me to it. I was going to post the same comment.

Shawnee123 09-12-2008 11:10 AM

Great minds, my friend, great minds.

classicman 09-12-2008 11:12 AM

Isn't death always certain? If not, tell me the secret - I'd surely like to know.

Maui Nick 09-12-2008 08:55 PM

90K idiots in Galveston refused orders to evacuate. Whole damned island's going to be underwater by midnight CDT, if not already. Some of the idiots who refused to evacuate have been plucked from the roofs of their flooded houses by Coast Guard helicopters.

Honestly, reminds me of transplants to South Florida just before Andrew rolled through in 1992 ... or a lot of New Orleans-area residents prior to Katrina. Major 'cane rolls in ... you leave. It's that simple. Or is it?

Also, DirecTV customers can check in on local Houston coverage via channel 361, which is rebroadcasting KHOU's signal.


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