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-   -   What would Martin Niemoller think about Arizona? (http://cellar.org/showthread.php?t=22610)

classicman 06-03-2010 09:38 AM

Was the bullshit part the part where I agreed with you?
Oh wait - that was simply your way of admitting that you, in fact, took my post out of context intentionally and therefore its ok because other people do/did it.

classicman 06-03-2010 03:47 PM

From redux's link:
Quote:

"Violence is on the Mexican side, like it's breathing on us," said Estrada, whose county has 50 miles of border with Mexico. "But the [Santa Cruz] county is very safe as a whole. If there's any violence here, it's in the rural areas and canyons… There are probably a lot of things going on we're not aware of."

President Obama, Arizona Gov. Jan Brewer to Face Off Over Immigration at White House
Quote:

The administration and Congress have been at loggerheads over comprehensive immigration reform legislation that would enhance security along U.S. borders and address the situation of an estimated 10.8 million undocumented immigrants currently in the United States. Arizona is home to an estimated 460,000 of those immigrants.

Meanwhile, the administration is weighing a legal challenge to Arizona's law on grounds it may impede federal authority to set and enforce national immigration policy and could lead to abuses based on race.

Although the law specifically states that law enforcement officers may not consider race, color or national origin as a basis for inquiring about an individual's immigration status, Latinos and civil rights groups worry the potential for racial profiling is still there.
Link
As an aside... What law doesn't have the potential to be discriminatory? You have humans enforcing them.

Quote:

Arizona Gov. Jan Brewer says she and President Barack Obama have agreed to try to work together on a solution to the nation's immigration and border security woes.

Brewer also says Obama assured her that most of the 1,200 National Guard troops he is sending to the southern border will be coming to her state. Brewer recently signed a tough new immigration enforcement law that requires police to check people's immigration status.

Obama has denounced the law as discriminatory.

Brewer spoke Thursday after a half-hour meeting with Obama in the Oval Office.
Read more:

That was less than informative.

classicman 06-04-2010 09:46 AM

Quote:

(a) Every law enforcement agency shall fully cooperate with the United States Immigration and Naturalization Service regarding any person who is arrested if he or she is suspected of being present in the United States in violation of federal immigration laws.
(b) With respect to any such person who is arrested, and suspected of being present in the United States in violation of federal immigration laws, every law enforcement agency shall do the following:
(1) Attempt to verify the legal status of such person as a citizen of the United States, an alien lawfully admitted as a permanent resident, an alien lawfully admitted for a temporary period of time or as an alien who is present in the United States in violation of immigration laws. The verification process may include, but shall not be limited to, questioning the person regarding his or her date and place of birth, and entry into the United States, and demanding documentation to indicate his or her legal status.

Redux 06-05-2010 11:16 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by classicman (Post 660286)
As an aside... What law doesn't have the potential to be discriminatory? You have humans enforcing them.

Please point to any other law where citizens (not illegals) of one race or ethnicity are far more likely to be subject to being "questioned" about their immigration status than other races, when not in custody for questioning about any other crime.

Again, I am not talking about illegals, but citizens and legal residents who happen to be Hispanic and who will be faced with the potential prospect of be subjected to more scrutiny to determine if they broke the state law of being in the country illegally based solely on undefined "suspicious" behavior.

BTW...I did get a good laugh out of your signature: Support America-Support Arizona

Supporting America means supporting the Arizona law?

Does that mean those who have concerns about the AZ law are UnAmerican or somehow not supporting America?

Damn... and I thought supporting America means supporting the right to dissent.

classicman 06-05-2010 12:24 PM

You are such a hypocrite - You choose to support a boycott and I choose to support the state.

Any law - traffic laws - anything where the police have to use their discretion could be construed as being discriminatory.

Redux 06-05-2010 12:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by classicman (Post 660769)
You are such a hypocrite - You choose to support a boycott and I choose to support the state.

Please explain what is hypocritical about my comment. I dont have problem with you supporting the state. I disagree with you, but I never brought support of America into the equation, which iMO, is nonsense.

But correct me if I am wrong...you are the one who suggests or infers that supporting America has some relation to supporting your position.

If I misinterpreted, please explain what supporting America has to do with support a state law as opposed to expressing concern about a state law.

Support the state or boycott the state..that is everyone's right and it has absolutely nothing to with supporting America.



Quote:

Any law - traffic laws - anything where the police have to use their discretion could be construed as being discriminatory.
Traffic laws are far more likely to be applied equally to all races (despite "driving while black or brown) than a state law that makes illegal immigration a state crime and thus, by its very nature and objectives, far more likely to be applied more to one race than others

This law has the real potential and likelihood NOT to be applied equally to all citizens and legal residents.

There is no comparison to traffic laws or any other laws.

jinx 06-05-2010 02:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Redux (Post 660754)
Please point to any other law where citizens (not illegals) of one race or ethnicity are far more likely to be subject to being "questioned" about their immigration status than other races, when not in custody for questioning about any other crime.

This is about geography, not discrimination.
What if NY passed the same law, written exactly the same way?

Redux 06-05-2010 02:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jinx (Post 660785)
This is about geography, not discrimination.
What if NY passed the same law, written exactly the same way?


IMO, and the opinion of many legal experts, this law has a greater potential adverse impact on Hispanic citizens and legal residents than other races. That makes it discriminatory. Others disagree, I get that.

Again, that is why the courts should decide.

Particularly, when the law only requires "reasonable suspicion" and does not prohibit considering race as a factor. It only says race cannot be the sole factor for determining reasonable suspicion. When race is A factor (not the sole factor), it borders or crosses the line of being discriminatory.

If you are a Hispanic citizen or legal resident of AZ, you are more likely to face "reasonable suspicion" of being an illegal immigrant and in violation of the state law than Anglos, Blacks, Asians.....I honestly dont see how objective observers can suggest otherwise.

IMO, there would be much less concern with the law being potentially discriminatory if it relied on "probable cause" (a greater burden of proof) rather than "reasonable suspicion".

added:
In case I wasnt clear enough about your NY comparison......any law in any state that uses a standard of "reasonable suspicion" and allows race to be a determining factor in that suspicion (just not the sole factor) raises serious legal questions of being discriminatory.

Shawnee123 06-06-2010 10:00 AM

I can imagine the outrage if NY passed a similar law targeting muslims (or anyone who just looks the part.)

classicman 06-06-2010 08:47 PM

Unarmed Predator drones flying along border
No not the Pakistani borders...
Quote:

EL PASO -- Unarmed Predator drones are now flying along part of the Texas-Mexico border, an official confirmed Saturday.

A member of Democratic Rep. Silvestre Reyes' office said the flights began earlier last week.

The Federal Aviation Administration had authorized the flights to begin on June 1.

Predators, known for deadly strikes against insurgents in the mountains of Pakistan, can provide detailed images of ground targets from high altitude. Texas lawmakers have said they are convinced the drones will help secure the increasingly violent Southwest border.

The new permit authorizes drones to fly between Fort Huachuca, Ariz., and Big Bend National Park. Lawmakers have asked the FAA to approve flights out of Corpus Christi that would cover the rest of the Texas border and the Gulf of Mexico coastline.

Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison, R-Texas, two weeks ago introduced a bill that would pay for at least six new drone systems and hire pilots to bolster coverage of the entire 2,000-mile Southwest border.

"We must employ state-of-the-art border monitoring and security techniques," Hutchison said in a statement.

Hutchison said that Customs and Border Protection officials told her only 700 miles of the border is under "effective control." The rest of the border becomes an open door for drug cartels, arms dealers, human traffickers and terrorists, she said.

Texas lawmakers have also asked that the FAA to create a faster way of processing applications for new flights.
Link

Spexxvet 06-07-2010 08:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Shawnee123 (Post 660919)
I can imagine the outrage if NY passed a similar law targeting muslims (or anyone who just looks the part.)

Or Christians. :eek:

Shawnee123 06-07-2010 08:34 AM

Seriously. We're so goddammed petrified of terrorists, but we're worried about those folks who are sneaking over here to clean our hotel rooms.

Target any nationality in New York City, call it part of the war on terror, and there will be serious anger and consequences I don't want to ponder.

You know why? Terrorism and power and money are all related, mostly because we want to lie naked in oil all goddam day. (coughBushcough) The Mexican people have little to no say in anything, because they don't have all the money.

Redux 06-07-2010 09:36 AM

Words of Wisdom

lookout123 06-07-2010 06:02 PM

I just got back from Mexico. Apparently they still like my money there. All is well.

TheMercenary 06-07-2010 07:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Redux (Post 661216)
Words of Wisdom

Words of partisan bullshit.

Redux 06-07-2010 10:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheMercenary (Post 661420)
Words of partisan bullshit.

I would suggest the "words of wisdom" video is political humor as opposed to the partisan bullshit of the AZ governor who has made unsubstantiated claims about the the so-called increase in violent crime that threatens the safety of AZ citizens (despite the fact that violent crime is down statewide and in border cities/counties)?

Or her false claim that that the federal government has done little or nothing to deport illegal immigrants (despite the fact that federal spending has increased substantially as have deportations and the flow of illegals coming into the country is at its lowest point in 10 years)?

IMO, the law may be good partisan politics for an unelected governor,who until she signed the law, had dismal poll ratings and jumped onto a hot button issue that the majority (ie White AZ) supports....but it is terrible public policy.

It is discriminatory....it will adversely impact community policy and the level of trust between police and the Hispanic community...and it will do absolutely nothing to secure the border.

It may get her elected to a full term...thats the bottom line.

classicman 06-07-2010 11:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Redux (Post 661479)
IMO, the law ... a hot button issue that the majority (ie White AZ) supports....but it is terrible public policy.

Cite please.
Quote:

It is discriminatory....
Prove it.

lookout123 06-07-2010 11:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Redux (Post 661479)
that the majority (ie White AZ) supports....but it is terrible public policy.

You might be seeing a thinking of a different Arizona, perhaps? The one I live in hardly has a white majority.

Redux 06-08-2010 12:11 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lookout123 (Post 661504)
You might be seeing a thinking of a different Arizona, perhaps? The one I live in hardly has a white majority.

According to census figures, AZ is majority white, non-Hispanic:

White persons not Hispanic, percent, 2008 58.4%
Persons of Hispanic or Latino origin, percent, 2008 (b) 30.1%

http://quickfacts.census.gov/qfd/states/04000.html

Or:
According to the 2005-2007 American Community Survey conducted by the U.S. Census Bureau, White Americans made up 76.4% of Arizona's population; of which 59.6% were non-Hispanic whites. Blacks or African Americans made up 3.4% of Arizona's population; of which 3.3% were non-Hispanic blacks. American Indians made up 4.5% of the state's population; of which 4.1% were non-Hispanic. Asian Americans made up 2.3% of the state's population. Pacific Islander Americans made up 0.1% of the state's population. Individuals from some other race made up 10.8% of the state's population; of which 0.2% were non-Hispanic. Individuals from two or more races made up 2.4% of the state's population; of which 1.4% were non-Hispanic. In addition, Hispanics and Latinos made up 29.0% of Arizona's population.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_Arizona

Even factoring in an estimated 1/2 million illegals....it wont change the fact that AZ is majority White, non-Hispanic.

And the polls on the AZ law are equally divided by race.

Redux 06-08-2010 12:49 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by classicman (Post 661497)
Cite please.

Prove it.

You first :)

Prove that ALL those constitutional experts, local elected officials and law enforcement officials who oppose the law do so out of political or financial interests, as you stated....and not out of concern about discrimination or concern that the law will not only be ineffective, but counter-productive, creating a greater divide between law enforcement and the Hispanic community.

But as I posted earlier... IMO, any law that allows race to be a factor in determining "reasonable suspicion" is discriminatory...particularly when one race will obviously be targeted more than others....unless of course, you expect AZ cops to be looking for illegal Canadians or Haitians.

I also said, ultimately, the courts should make that legal determination.

classicman 06-08-2010 08:39 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Redux (Post 661515)
IMO, any law that allows race to be a factor in determining "reasonable suspicion" is discriminatory...

Cite please...

Quote:

I also said, ultimately, the courts should make that legal determination.
And they will.

Redux 06-08-2010 08:43 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by classicman (Post 661548)
Cite please...

Are you really that dense or just being an argumentative asshole.

I said In My Opinion.

So why cant you cite a source to support your statement that ALL those who oppose the law are motivated by political or financial interests.

Or why cant you answer the earlier question....what the fuck does supporting America have to do with supporting the AZ law?

Or support your statement with a cite that government data is biased or untrustworthy....of course, unless it supports your position.

added:
I accept that providing crime data on AZ border cities/counties is not enough for you and/or others...or the fact that federal expenditures on border security have increased significantly in recent years....as have deportations....or the fact that the number of illegals coming into the country have been on a decline in recent years.....making the governor's statements less that factual.....and, IMO, political posturing on her part to get herself re-elected.

classicman 06-08-2010 09:19 AM

I believe the law specifically prohibits race from being a factor.
Quote:

Originally Posted by Redux (Post 661549)
allows race to be a factor in determining "reasonable suspicion"

I never asked you to back up your opinion, just the part of the bill where it states that race can be used.

Redux 06-08-2010 09:27 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by classicman (Post 661556)
I believe the law specifically prohibits race from being a factor.

I never asked you to back up your opinion, just the part of the bill where it states that race can be used.

I believe that law does not specifically and totally prohibit race from being a factor.

In fact, in the final version, after sending the bill to the governor, the state did remove the language that race cannot be the sole factor in determining reasonable suspicion in an attempt to affirm that there will not be racial profiling.....but what remains is the language "except to the extent permitted by the United States or Arizona Constitution."

Which still leave many unanswered questions (the Supreme has ruled in the past that profiling is legal under very limited circumstances, after which the Appeals Court for the district of AZ, in another ruling. said it is not legal)...as does the issue of what constitutes reasonable suspicion.

If not race, then what...the fact that a cop may hear someone speaking Spanish? or as one official suggested, by the clothes one wears?

I'm curious...what would you consider to be factors of reasonable suspicion? And what is to prevent the cops from using race...just the fact that the law says they cant?

Do you honestly believe that the cops will be asking Anglos to provide documentation of their citizenship at a level equal to Hispanics...when not being detained for questioning related to another crime?

I said repeated that it was my opinion that the law raises constitutional issues......and I stand by that.

Oh, and as to AZ being majority white....58-59% is a majority where I come from.

classicman 06-08-2010 09:43 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Redux (Post 661515)
allows race to be a factor in determining "reasonable suspicion" is discriminatory

So you admit that your post above claiming it was, is in fact, false and misleading.
Thank you.
Quote:

Originally Posted by Redux
And what is to prevent the cops from using race...just the fact that the law says they cant?

Why are you so biased against the public servants who have sworn to uphold the laws of our country and protect its citizens?

Redux 06-08-2010 09:45 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by classicman (Post 661563)
So you admit that your post above claiming it was, is in fact, false and misleading.
Thank you.

Fuck you. I didnt claim anything,....I said it was my opinion.

As others have noted here.....you are transparent in twisting what others post.

Quote:

Why are you so biased against the public servants who have sworn to uphold the laws of our country and protect its citizens?
Why are you so biased against local elected officials and law enforcement officials who oppose the law or have concerns about its constitutionality to suggest that they are ALL politically or financially motivated?

Or on a broader level, why are you so biased against government data...to make your claim that government data is biased and untrustworthy....unless the data supports your opinion.

And I am still curious what supporting America has to do with supporting a state law.

classicman 06-08-2010 10:01 AM

Insult, deny and deflect... well done.

Redux 06-08-2010 10:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by classicman (Post 661567)
Insult, deny and deflect... well done.

Fuck off....you cant handle the truth. :D

But you are great at accusing others of "insult, deny and deflect" while refusing to respond to similar questions posed to you regarding your posts.

Why do you keep deflecting this question: Why are you so biased against local elected officials and law enforcement officials who oppose the law or have concerns about its constitutionality to suggest that they are ALL politically or financially motivated?

Now go stand in the corner and recite the Pledge of Allegiance to demonstrate what a true American you are.

classicman 06-08-2010 10:07 AM

*Note* Nice edit AGAIN after the reply. I guess anyone responding to you will have to quote your original post in its entirety so that your changes after their reply will be, how did you put it... transparent. You do that quite often.

classicman 06-08-2010 10:08 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Redux (Post 661564)
As others have noted here.....you are transparent in twisting what others post.

Show us all the twist - Quote by quote...

ETA
Quote:

Originally Posted by Redux
Fuck off....you cant handle the truth.

Then magically all this appears after being replied to...

Quote:

Originally Posted by Redux
But you are great at accusing others of "insult, deny and deflect" while refusing to respond to similar questions posed to you regarding your posts.

Why do you keep deflecting this question: Why are you so biased against local elected officials and law enforcement officials who oppose the law or have concerns about its constitutionality to suggest that they are ALL politically or financially motivated?

Now go stand in the corner and recite the Pledge of Allegiance to demonstrate what a true American you are.

Perfect example

Redux 06-08-2010 10:12 AM

Deal with it any way you like, asshole.

Shawnee123 06-08-2010 11:45 AM

It's a bitch, girl!
 
And you've gone too far
But you know it don't matter anyway.
You can rely on your old man's money...

:lol:

I knew I liked Hall & Oates.

Quote:

The Arizona Diamondbacks announced that Daryl Hall and John Oates have canceled their post-game concert at Chase Field that had been scheduled to follow a game against the Dodgers on July 2.

Hall and Oates issued the following statement:

"In addition to our personal convictions, we are standing in solidarity with the music community in our boycott of performing in Arizona at this time. We would like to emphasize that this has nothing to do with the management of the Arizona Diamondbacks, who have been professional and cooperative throughout our dealings with them. This is our response to a very specific action of the state."

Sheldonrs 06-08-2010 12:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Shawnee123 (Post 661598)
And you've gone too far
But you know it don't matter anyway.
You can rely on your old man's money...

:lol:

I knew I liked Hall & Oates.

Damn! I might even have gone to that game. It's the only stadium i know of that has a pool inside one of the special booths where you can swim and watch the game at the same time. :-)

classicman 06-08-2010 01:03 PM

Found a poll from MSNBC -
Quote:

Do you support Arizona's tough new law on illegal immigration?
In July, Arizona will begin enforcing a new law that requires law enforcement officers to check someone’s immigration status if they have reason to suspect that he or she is in the country illegally. Do you think this is a good idea?

Yes 95.9%832,784 votes ----- No 4.1% 36,017 votes
Of course not that it means anything.

Redux 06-08-2010 02:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Shawnee123 (Post 661598)
And you've gone too far
But you know it don't matter anyway.
You can rely on your old man's money...

:lol:

I knew I liked Hall & Oates.

Support America - Support Karaoke and sing Sara Smile

Shawnee123 06-08-2010 02:33 PM

How about Out of Touch? :D

Redux 06-08-2010 02:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by classicman (Post 661619)
Found a poll from MSNBC -


Of course not that it means anything.

LOL

This was a online poll....totally unscientific and one which in right wings sites across the net linked to the poll and encouraged supporters to flood the poll.

One example from right wing news

A more interesting (and more scientific) poll is the NBC/WSJ poll....where 64% favor the law and at the same time, 66% believe it will lead to discrimination.

http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/_news...ds-back-az-law

Shawnee123 06-08-2010 02:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Redux (Post 661637)
Support America - Support Karaoke and sing Sara Smile

Senora Smile

Redux 06-08-2010 02:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Shawnee123 (Post 661641)
Senora Smile

Hombre eater

Shawnee123 06-08-2010 02:57 PM

:lol2:

Redux 06-08-2010 03:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Shawnee123 (Post 661649)
:lol2:

Hey...it solves the immigration problem.

she's watching..she's waiting...she only comes out at night and she'll chew them up.

Urbane Guerrilla 06-08-2010 10:52 PM

Oh, so nothing Republicans and conservatives ever do is ever valid because... well, they're Republicans and conservatives, is that it, Redux?

God, your bigotries and your kneejerkery are appalling. But then, what use have you for values so long as you have the Party?

Urbane Guerrilla 06-08-2010 11:26 PM

And, from Ruben Navarrette, who's made a business of being "all inmigrantes all the time," weighs in with another of his rather strained columns, viz.,

Quote:

• The scope and intent of the law have always been clear. Truth: Supporters like to forget that there have been two versions of the law. The first was defective and had to be fixed one week after it was signed by Gov. Jan Brewer.
IOW, the problem was noted and the patch was applied well before the law went into effect. No point for Mr. Navarrette here.

Quote:

• Arizona is being invaded. The law is a cry for help. Truth: No, it’s a claim to victimhood. Our society is full of people who duck responsibility for their actions by playing the victim. Now states are doing it. Arizona has illegal immigrants because Arizonans hire them. Take away the “help wanted” sign, and they won’t come.
As if that were anything like a realistic option. I'd call this shot a two-cent special. When México has a middle class visible to the naked eye, the immigration problem will dry up. It's an economic problem with an economic solution; it will not be tractable by remedies of law nor of fortification.

Quote:

. . . Under existing federal statutes, immigrants may have their citizenship questioned but only by federal agents. Under the Arizona law, that power is extended to local police. Many legal scholars believe this to be clearly unconstitutional because immigration policy is a federal responsibility and not something that can be done piecemeal by individual states.
And he would -- what? Continue the present ineffectuality? Federal agencies not getting the job done they say should be done, while doing something...? A state is indicting the Fed for not doing something assigned it by the Constitution; of course the Fed deserves to be embarrassed at this. Complaining about it isn't going to help anyone.

And finally, this straining at a gnat while clearly not recognizing he's doing so:

Quote:

• This law makes Arizonans safer. Truth: Quite the opposite. By sending illegal immigrants underground, Arizona has created a pool of ready-made victims who can be preyed upon at will because they won’t report crimes to police. Scoundrels, thieves and predators will pounce.
That's the present situation, Ruben carito. What's this "if this goes on" scenario of yours? Oh, right -- this is the kind of strained thinking that's all through your columns any time inmigrantes come up.

Redux 06-08-2010 11:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Urbane Guerrilla (Post 661739)
Oh, so nothing Republicans and conservatives ever do is ever valid because... well, they're Republicans and conservatives, is that it, Redux?

God, your bigotries and your kneejerkery are appalling. But then, what use have you for values so long as you have the Party?

This from one who consistently resorts to childish name-calling of democrats,,,and relies on knee jerk libertarian talking points that he cant support with facts?

Pot meet kettle.

Redux 06-08-2010 11:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Urbane Guerrilla (Post 661744)
And, from Ruben Navarrette, who's made a business of being "all inmigrantes all the time," weighs in with another of his rather strained columns, viz.,


IOW, the problem was noted and the patch was applied well before the law went into effect. No point for Mr. Navarrette here.

Constitutional issues still remain both regarding the question if immigration law is solely the responsibility of the federal government as identified in the Constitution.,..and the question of discrimination based on reasonable suspicion, including racial profiling if it meets the test of the standard set by the Court (and many legal experts across the political spectrum dont think it does)

More on the second issue: Late changes to the Arizona immigration law "lay to rest questions over the possibility of racial profiling." ... not quite

One would think that die hard libertarians like you would be concerned about any potential infringement of civil liberties....but i guess not if it wont impact you directly.


Quote:

]And he would -- what? Continue the present ineffectuality? Federal agencies not getting the job done they say should be done, while doing something...? A state is indicting the Fed for not doing something assigned it by the Constitution; of course the Fed deserves to be embarrassed at this. Complaining about it isn't going to help anyone.
Spending on border security has increased from $6 billion to $10 billion in the last 4=5 years......Deportations are up significantly in those years and the total number of illegals and the number of new illegals coming into the country is at the lowest point in 10 years. And the violent crime issue? Debunked.

Why cant you guys accept any of the above facts.

The fed response has been far from perfect...but ineffectual? Because it hasnt solved the problem completely, despite making significant progress in the last 4-5 years?

As to the effectiveness of the law in dealing with the current illegals....many law enforcement officials have serious doubts, including the Arizona Association of Chiefs of Police:
The Arizona Association of Chiefs of Police (AACOP) remains in opposition to Senate Bill (SB) 1070. The provisions of the bill remain problematic and will negatively affect the ability of law enforcement agencies across the state to fulfill their many responsibilities in a timely manner...

http://www.leei.us/main/media/AACOP_..._BILL_1070.pdf
A liberal, partisan Democrat organization?

So putting the constitutional issues aside, please, explain how this law will help with border security? Or why you think it wont result in mistrust of police within the Hispanic community. Or why it wont put the cops in a no-win situation with undefined standards of reasonable suspicion?

added:

Ultimately, IMO, the only effective solution...bring them out in the open through a pathway to citizenship...NOT amnesty, as it is falsely characterized by many on the right, but a process of registration, background checks, payments of fines and taxes, English language requirements, and going to the back of the line.

The added benefit....$tens of billions in additional annual tax revenues and probably $billions in savings in law enforcement expenditures.

TheMercenary 06-09-2010 05:26 PM

So they finally are sending a message to the illegals on the border.

Deadly force should be used more often.

classicman 06-09-2010 06:34 PM

Wow - without knowing the specifics, I would say that the death of a 14 year old boy is tragic. Relating this incident to the increase of deadly force for border security is highly questionable.

classicman 06-09-2010 10:19 PM

Quote:

Arizona's tough new immigration enforcement law is fueling an exodus of Hispanics from the state seven weeks before it goes into effect, according to officials and residents in the state.

Though no one has precise figures, reports from school officials, businesses and individuals indicate worried Hispanics — both legal and illegal — are leaving the state in anticipation of the law, which will go into effect July 29.

Schools in Hispanic areas report unusual drops in enrollment. The Balsz Elementary School District is 75% Hispanic, and within a month of the law's passage, the parents of 70 students pulled them out of school, said District Superintendent Jeffrey Smith. The district lost seven students over the same one-month period last year, and parents tell Smith the Arizona law is the reason for leaving.
~snip~
Juan Carlos Cruz, an illegal immigrant who has worked in plant nurseries for 20 years, huddled with dozens of relatives over the Memorial Day Weekend in the backyard of his brother's Phoenix-area home to plot out the family's next move to avoid what they say will be harassment by police. Virginia and California are the front-runners.

"If I were alone, I'd try to stay. But I have a family, and I have to find a place where we can live with more freedom," said Cruz, who hopes to move July 4 to blend in with holiday weekend traffic. "This is getting too hard."
Poll: More Americans want an Ariz.-style immigration law in their states

Big jump in Latino registration for Democrats

TheMercenary 06-10-2010 07:53 PM

We will see. Never believe the first reports.

lookout123 06-10-2010 08:05 PM

I may have posted this before but don't remember. While the state is far from emptying out I have personally seen some evidence that a fair amount of illegals are hitting the road.

1) An adult tournament I always play in cancelled because some of the teams who were registered had to bail out due to lack of players. They are local teams I am familiar with and it was no secret they weren't all legal.

2) One of the soccer clubs I interact with is having serious problems because about half their coaches packed up and left rather than risk the chance of getting caught here.

3) One of the golf courses I know the management at is royally screwed. They are redoing the course from bottom up and the company that won the contract did so based on their access to a 200 person workforce. They've only been able to keep about 30 there regularly and have now resorted to hiring college kids. The management acknowledges that their workforce was primarily daylaborers who have left the area.

There doesn't seem to be any significant effect here, but obviously things are changing a bit.

Redux 06-10-2010 10:33 PM

Its not a solution to the problem....it just shifts it elsewhere....with hard working legal Hispanics leaving as well.

And makes AZ even more majority white.

classicman 06-11-2010 09:04 AM

Perhaps they can go to CA of Wash DC. More states are/will be following AZ lead.
The real issue could be what happens if/when they go back to Mexico (that is where the vast majority are from) to find a country that neither cares, wants nor can provide for them. Perhaps this will will be the impetus for them to take back their country.

Redux 06-11-2010 09:21 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by classicman (Post 662350)
Perhaps they can go to CA of Wash DC. More states are/will be following AZ lead.
The real issue could be what happens if/when they go back to Mexico (that is where the vast majority are from) to find a country that neither cares, wants nor can provide for them. Perhaps this will will be the impetus for them to take back their country.

I think it is reasonable to assume they will go to neighboring states. The gov of NM doesnt support the law, neither does the gov of CA or the two new candidates for gov in CA, nor does the gov of TX.

It is not a solution. It is pushing the problem, to whatever limited extent, onto some one else.

Redux 06-11-2010 10:30 AM

Why do you think (or do you) more states should follow AZ's lead before they know it the law is constitutional and, if it is, whether or not it is enforceable and effectively addresses the problem.

IMO, for any state to mimic AZ before those issues are resolved, are doing so for political purposes, not for the best public policy. Certainly the other border states are not rushing to follow the AZ lead..and good for them (including the two biggest states, CA and TX, with republican governors and with the biggest problems) for not jumping on the bandwagon despite the clamoring from the right.

classicman 06-11-2010 12:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Redux (Post 662354)
It is not a solution. It is pushing the problem, to whatever limited extent, onto some one else.

Seems like thats whats been happening for years, if not decades. This time however it is being pushed onto those that are responsible for it - The Fed Gov't.
Quote:

Originally Posted by Redux (Post 662377)
Why do you think (or do you) more states should follow AZ's lead before they know it the law is constitutional and, if it is, whether or not it is enforceable and effectively addresses the problem.

IMO - If the Fed Gov't isn't going to address the issue and uphold its responsibilities, then the states should be able to do so.
This law in general, not specifically, does just that. It has brought this issue to the forefront again and the ball is now clearly in the Fed's court.

Do you really believe it was just coincidence that those 1,200 troops were ordered to be sent to the border and the $500 million??
Or was that simply political pandering on Obama's part? Was it a step in the right direction. IIRC - Bush sent 6000 troops.
5 times more than Obama.
Quote:

IMO, for any state to mimic AZ before those issues are resolved, are doing so for political purposes, not for the best public policy. Certainly the other border states are not rushing to follow the AZ lead..and good for them (including the two biggest states, CA and TX)
Then let them go there. That shouldn't be a problem for you. According to you, those states don't see it as an issue... or do they? There is so much conflicting information.
Quote:

Seventy-six percent of Houston Business Journal readers that responded to the survey would support an immigration law similar to that in Arizona.
Twenty-three percent said "no."There were 1,486 total responses.
As expected, the question resulted in a broad range of comments for and against the cause.
Nancyrae S. commented, "It really is tiresome to hear and read the ignorant remarks of the uninformed. This bill doesn't turn a state into a police state - you will not be required to present papers just because of your skin color or speech.

"The bill requires law enforcement to ask for proof of status if you are stopped for breaking the law. This proof can be as simple as a driver's license. Contrary to the idiotic remarks made by government officials - you will not be deported while out for ice cream or because you are overheard speaking in a different language."
Link

There certainly are no easy answers. There is no magic bullet, pill nor potion that will make this just go away. People will be hurt, there is no doubt. It simply must be dealt with and not pushed off as many things are in politics.

Redux 06-11-2010 01:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by classicman (Post 662407)
Seems like thats whats been happening for years, if not decades. This time however it is being pushed onto those that are responsible for it - The Fed Gov't.

IMO - If the Fed Gov't isn't going to address the issue and uphold its responsibilities, then the states should be able to do so.
This law in general, not specifically, does just that. It has brought this issue to the forefront again and the ball is now clearly in the Fed's court.

The federal government has increased spending on border enforcement from $6 billion to $10 billion since 2006.

The number of deportations has risen significantly in recent years.

And the total number of illegal in the country is at the lowest point in 10 years.

How is that NOT addressing the issue?

Quote:

Do you really believe it was just coincidence that those 1,200 troops were ordered to be sent to the border and the $500 million??
Or was that simply political pandering on Obama's part? Was it a step in the right direction. IIRC - Bush sent 6000 troops.
5 times more than Obama.
There may or may be a direct correlation.....just as with the approval of of the use of drones, something requested for year and which Bush would not pursue.

If you look at Obama's 2011 budget request (from Feb) there are significant increases...and this was before the AZ law was enacted.


Quote:

Then let them go there. That shouldn't be a problem for you. According to you, those states don't see it as an issue... or do they?
Of course they see it as an issue, they just dont see the AZ law as an effective solution.

According to them, not me:

Governor Perry...AZ law not right for Texas

Meg Whitman, republican nominee for governor of CA: critical of AZ immigration law and would veto it.

Quote:

There certainly are no easy answers. There is no magic bullet, pill nor potion that will make this just go away. People will be hurt, there is no doubt. It simply must be dealt with and not pushed off as many things are in politics.
Again, how is increasing border security funding by more 50% over the last 4-5 years and more aggressively pursuing deportation NOT dealing with? It seems like you expect the feds to have a magic bullet, rather than make steady significant progress.

lookout123 06-11-2010 01:14 PM

Quote:

Do you really believe it was just coincidence that those 1,200 troops were ordered to be sent to the border and the $500 million??
Or was that simply political pandering on Obama's part? Was it a step in the right direction. IIRC - Bush sent 6000 troops.
5 times more than Obama.
Do you mean the 1,200 troops that have yet to receive orders to go to the border? I know a number of the senior officers in the AZ NG headquarters and they still haven't heard much about being mobilized so it isn't happening anytime soon.

Quote:

And the total number of illegal in the country is at the lowest point in 10 years
Honest question: If they are illegal and we have no accurate way of knowing who they are, where they are, or how many there are... how do you know there are fewer now than in the last 10 years?

Redux 06-11-2010 01:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lookout123 (Post 662413)
Do you mean the 1,200 troops that have yet to receive orders to go to the border? I know a number of the senior officers in the AZ NG headquarters and they still haven't heard much about being mobilized so it isn't happening anytime soon.

Honest question: If they are illegal and we have no accurate way of knowing who they are, where they are, or how many there are... how do you know there are fewer now than in the last 10 years?

Fair question....IMO, the best available data is the annual DHS report....unless you know of something better, hopefully not from a partisan interest group that cant support their own numbers.

http://www.dhs.gov/xlibrary/assets/s...ll_pe_2009.pdf

And I stand corrected, 2009 showed the lowest total number of illegals in the country in the last five years.

lookout123 06-11-2010 01:38 PM

so we can count them, we just can't seem to get them back out of the country. weird.

Redux 06-11-2010 01:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lookout123 (Post 662425)
so we can count them, we just can't seem to get them back out of the country. weird.

I would frame the questions differently....should we prevent more from coming in. Yes, and the feds have been making progress doing that.

For those 10+ million already here.....should we find a way to round them all up, ensuring that it is constitutional and no legals are caught up in the sweep and toss them out (at a cost of $billions) OR find a way to bring them out from underground, the vast majority of whom are hard working and not creating havoc or committing violent crimes. and put a process in place so that they become contributing taxpayers, after a process of "paying their dues" (and contribute $billions).


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