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-   -   How long will he live? (http://cellar.org/showthread.php?t=18639)

Aliantha 11-05-2008 12:09 AM

How long will he live?
 
Obama I mean. Do you think he'll survive his Presidency or will someone knock him off?

I don't think he'll survive. I think he'll be your next assassinated President.

elSicomoro 11-05-2008 12:11 AM

The FBI and Secret Service have your IP address as I type this.

Aliantha 11-05-2008 12:15 AM

lol...I'm sure they do, but it wont do them any good. I support him and think he'll do a good job.

Doesn't change the fact that there's a lot of loonies in the world who wont be happy he's the new leader of the free world.

Urbane Guerrilla 11-05-2008 12:32 AM

Shooting Obama to make Joe President??

Aliantha 11-05-2008 12:34 AM

I don't think that'd be the reason, but I suppose it's possible. To some people he'd be a much better option.

DanaC 11-05-2008 12:51 AM

*shakes head* I don't know. I dont think so. I think they''ll be extremely tight with security.

Dr. Zaius 11-05-2008 12:54 AM

Advice from a Republican of some note.

http://neptoon.homestead.com/lincoln.jpg

Urbane Guerrilla 11-05-2008 01:33 AM

Not the reason, no; but the effect. I had reference to (was it Charles I?) telling the next in line for the English throne, "No one will kill me to make you king," and being right.

freshnesschronic 11-05-2008 01:41 AM

I think he'll survive, but I do think some crazies will try to assassinate him.

Urbane Guerrilla 11-05-2008 01:46 AM

Crazies if anyone. We've never had a rational Presidential assassin yet, though whether they'd be found clinically insane I doubt.

ZenGum 11-05-2008 03:33 AM

Most famous people have a few crazies stalking or gunning for them, but President Obama is going to be drawing an awful lot of crazies. His security people are going to be very tense from now on. This is a pity because it will make it harder and harder for him to have public contact.

Still, he could guard against sane assassins, by ditching Joe and appointing Hillary as VP. That way, if they kill him, they'd be putting her in charge.

TheMercenary 11-05-2008 07:14 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Aliantha (Post 501212)
Obama I mean. Do you think he'll survive his Presidency or will someone knock him off?

I don't think he'll survive. I think he'll be your next assassinated President.

I have the utmost confidence in our Secret Service. And they will have their hands full protecting this family, something they have not had to do for many years. I do not doubt that there will be crazy people out there that try to kill him, I just dont' think there is anyway they can succeed.

glatt 11-05-2008 09:10 AM

Since I've moved to the Washington DC area about 20 years ago, I've seen the security around the president increase DRAMATICALLY. There is no way Obama will be assassinated unless it's an inside job like Sadat in Egypt. Security is too tight. The Secret Service does a great job at protecting the President.

I think it will be hard on Obama, because he will now be isolated from the People from whom he draws so much energy.

Sundae 11-05-2008 09:14 AM

Nah, I don't think the crazies are that organised.
They'll sit and bitch about every little thing from the weather to the weevils being Obama's fault, but I can't see anyone taking a potshot.

Shawnee123 11-05-2008 09:14 AM

It's the "inside job" that I worry about.

More sinister things have happened.

Clodfobble 11-05-2008 09:16 AM

I had this overwhelming fear that it was somehow going to happen during the acceptance speech last night. I could barely watch it, I was so convinced.

Shawnee123 11-05-2008 09:18 AM

I thought of that too, Clodfobble. All those people!

Pie 11-05-2008 09:30 AM

Why did you think they limited the crowd? And I saw people checking tickets as the masses were being admitted -- I believe it was invite-only.

Trilby 11-05-2008 09:34 AM

No one has learned a thing from the Secret. Sheesh!

This reminds me of my mother. She LOVES to worry ahead of time about things she has NO control over. It's her life. She adores doing it. Me? It's just too exhausting to live that way.

Carry on.

glatt 11-05-2008 09:34 AM

I think there were two sections. An inner section that was ticket only and an outer general admission one. But I think everyone had to clear security.

freshnesschronic 11-05-2008 09:36 AM

He's in my city, CHICAGO! He would have been more than fine, even though the KKK's home in the midwest is the neighboring city of Cicero.

He will be the most heavily guarded president ever though,that is for sure.

Shawnee123 11-05-2008 09:38 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by freshnesschronic (Post 501364)
He's in my city, CHICAGO! He would have been more than fine, even though the KKK's home in the midwest is the neighboring city of Cicero.
He will be the most heavily guarded president ever though,that is for sure.

Wh-wh-what?

Cic, say it isn't so!

:)

TheMercenary 11-05-2008 09:59 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by glatt (Post 501362)
I think there were two sections. An inner section that was ticket only and an outer general admission one. But I think everyone had to clear security.

It still would have been an easy shot for a well trained sniper from 6 or 800 meters with the right equipment. I am glad nothing happened. That would have been tragic.

Trilby 11-05-2008 10:08 AM

For someone who "didn't lose" and "will be fine" you sure are being an asshole this morning, merc.

TheMercenary 11-05-2008 10:21 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Brianna (Post 501394)
For someone who "didn't lose" and "will be fine" you sure are being an asshole this morning, merc.

How is that, I was merely commenting about the subject at hand.

bartman 11-05-2008 10:24 AM

Ummm I agree with Merc, it would have been an easy shot for someone well prepared. I was trying to figure out how far away the buildings were.

I hope nothing happens. I voted for him.

Pooka 11-05-2008 10:28 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Aliantha (Post 501212)
Obama I mean. Do you think he'll survive his Presidency or will someone knock him off?

I don't think he'll survive. I think he'll be your next assassinated President.

That is actually the first thing I said to Flint when I woke up this morning... and then I added... but not by me just so we're clear on that... but someone for sure will manage.

piercehawkeye45 11-05-2008 10:31 AM

Didn't some people already get arrested for attempting to plan an assassination attempt on Obama?

Imagine the drama if he did get killed last night? I wouldn't surprised if riots broke out.

Pooka 11-05-2008 10:50 AM

I'm pretty sure we will see riots anyway... just wait... the racial tension in our neighborhood is so thick you could cut is long before Obama anounced he was running...

TheMercenary 11-05-2008 10:52 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pooka (Post 501421)
I'm pretty sure we will see riots anyway... just wait... the racial tension in our neighborhood is so thick you could cut is long before Obama anounced he was running...

Why the tension?

Pooka 11-05-2008 10:59 AM

the neighborhood was a conservative middle income all white neighborhood in the 50s... now mostly retired and aging... being taken over rappidly by very low income black... you do the math

Pooka 11-05-2008 10:59 AM

uh... african american

SamIam 11-05-2008 11:05 AM

While it certainly is a concern, I think too many of you have been reading thriller type novels. I admitted to this same fear elsewhere on this board, but I right now am too busy being proud of the American people for electing the first Black President of the US. WE've come a long way from the ku lux klan, lynching and the civil rights era in the South. Yep, those elements are still out there, but the Secret Service is very good, and I am not going to let anything mar my pleasure on this day. I finally have regained some faith in my fellow Americans. :thumb: :thumb: Ooooh, and Colorado is now a Blue State. YAY! Take that you born agains in Colorado Springs and conservative West Slope ranchers!

glatt 11-05-2008 11:07 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheMercenary (Post 501387)
It still would have been an easy shot for a well trained sniper from 6 or 800 meters with the right equipment. I am glad nothing happened. That would have been tragic.

Quote:

Originally Posted by bartman (Post 501408)
Ummm I agree with Merc, it would have been an easy shot for someone well prepared. I was trying to figure out how far away the buildings were.

But when was the venue announced? A day in advance? Part of the Secret Service's ability to protect the President is to not give a lot of advanced notice about his schedule. Gaining access to a locked rooftop or open window isn't easy, especially with the Secret Service checking all those buildings in advance and having local law enforcement watching them.

I'm not saying the odds are zero, I'm just saying that the Secret Service does a very good job of making the odds very close to zero.

It will be interesting to see if Obama gets out of his limo during the inaugural parade. He might do it just as the parade gets to the White House, because that area is more secure than the wide open areas near the Capitol building.

I went to Clinton's first parade, and may go to this one. My office will be closed. Depends on the weather. You have to get there VERY early to see anything, and it's a long cold wait.

TheMercenary 11-05-2008 11:10 AM

I agree. It would have been difficult. Just not impossible. The venue was announced a few days in advance. It is not past entities to put someone out there to do the deed and subsequently sacrifice the shooter. Plenty of conspiracies surround Lee Harvey Oswald. I have faith in the protection of our President. I am sure they are as worried about the threat as we are.

xoxoxoBruce 11-05-2008 11:26 AM

The Dorothys will protect him. :cool:

Undertoad 11-05-2008 11:45 AM

There were thick plexiglass panels in front of him, you had to look closely at the right shots to see them.

Urbane Guerrilla 11-05-2008 12:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pooka (Post 501427)
uh... african american

Thread-branch:

I'd stick with "black." It's concise. Jesse Jackson's (yes, I saw what he was doing standing in the crowd last night) popularizing of that piece of bureaucratese was notably tin of ear.

DanaC 11-05-2008 12:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Clodfobble (Post 501351)
I had this overwhelming fear that it was somehow going to happen during the acceptance speech last night. I could barely watch it, I was so convinced.

*nods* me too. A couple of moments during the speech, I had this itch att he back of my head, almost an expectation of the moment to turn.

Shawnee123 11-05-2008 12:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Urbane Guerrilla (Post 501465)
Thread-branch:

I'd stick with "black." It's concise. Jesse Jackson's (yes, I saw what he was doing standing in the crowd last night) popularizing of that piece of bureaucratese was notably tin of ear.

:eek: Really? What was he doing? Jacking off? Barfing? Giving wedgies? I saw him standing there but I didn't see "what he was doing." (cue ominous music: duh duh DUHHHHH):

Here's some tin for you: :tinfoil:

Clodfobble 11-05-2008 01:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Undertoad
There were thick plexiglass panels in front of him, you had to look closely at the right shots to see them.

Oh my God, you're right. I saw them in one shot, but didn't understand what I was looking at.


Heh. It's like they know what they're doing, or something. :)

Pie 11-05-2008 01:38 PM

Can someone post a link to the plexiglass pix please?

glatt 11-05-2008 01:42 PM

1 Attachment(s)
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Pico and ME 11-05-2008 01:44 PM

I don't think that the people who currently would like to take a shot at Obama have the proper resources to do so, and the people who do have the resources, don't have the reason..yet.

sweetwater 11-05-2008 01:45 PM

What SamIAm said.:thumb2:

Pie 11-05-2008 02:06 PM

Interesting. I'm not sure those were really there as protection -- they seem t leave a lot of the guy uncovered. :eyebrow:

glatt 11-05-2008 02:17 PM

I don't know Chicago at all, so maybe those of you who have been and know this park can comment better, but I just went to Google Earth and looked at the satellite imagery for this park. The buildings behind Obama in the picture are 1 full mile away from Obama. A telephoto lens makes them appear to be closer than they are. To the left of the picture, in the direction that Obama is facing, are closer buildings that are not as tall. (They are out of frame.) They are about 500 meters away. According to Merc, a sniper could reach Obama from there, but the plexiglass protects him from that direction. Behind the photographer, there is a large museum about 300 meters away. It shields him from that direction. And to the right in the picture, behind Obama, is the lake.

I think they did a pretty good job of shielding him.

Pie 11-05-2008 02:27 PM

How about from where the guy took this picture? If he's in photo range, he's in bullet range.
(I don't know why I'm arguing about this -- I think he'll be fine.)

glatt 11-05-2008 02:42 PM

The press go through security.

But yeah, that would be more of an "inside job" and that's the only way I can see anyone getting close enough. I think he'll be fine. (of course, I did obsess enough about it to go look at Google Earth.)

bartman 11-05-2008 02:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by glatt (Post 501554)
(of course, I did obsess enough about it to go look at Google Earth.)

I didn't :D

freshnesschronic 11-05-2008 03:48 PM

As a Chicagoan, Grant Park is on the shoreline basically, surrounded by the art institute and Roosevelt U, Columbia College of Chicago and other buildings that would have been WELL covered by security. To the north is Millenium park, again no chance for anybody. No one has a chance on the ground, the only feasible chance would be on a boat but I'm sure coast guard was there with helicopter coverage, I heard choppers in the speech. The college buildings don't allow anyone who's non student or faculty or maintenance. And it is illegal to own a firearm in Chicago. There's no way anyone could get one into a Chicago college building, impossible for the art institute.

Again, I feel he'll be the most protected president to date.

HungLikeJesus 11-05-2008 04:42 PM

It's illegal to own a firearm in Chicago? How's that working out for you?

bartman 11-05-2008 04:47 PM

They can never catch the ppl that possess firearms. Only the ones who own them.

Shawnee123 11-05-2008 04:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by HungLikeJesus (Post 501600)
It's illegal to own a firearm in Chicago? How's that working out for you?

You insensitive bastard. Chicago was killed on 9/11...hence the song "The Night Chicago Died."

Sheesh

Bullitt 11-05-2008 04:58 PM

Not well. Chicago loses more black kids due to firearm deaths than the city loses soldiers in Iraq.

Aliantha 11-05-2008 05:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Clodfobble (Post 501351)
I had this overwhelming fear that it was somehow going to happen during the acceptance speech last night. I could barely watch it, I was so convinced.

Me too

Aliantha 11-05-2008 05:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SamIam (Post 501431)
While it certainly is a concern, I think too many of you have been reading thriller type novels. I admitted to this same fear elsewhere on this board, but I right now am too busy being proud of the American people for electing the first Black President of the US. WE've come a long way from the ku lux klan, lynching and the civil rights era in the South. Yep, those elements are still out there, but the Secret Service is very good, and I am not going to let anything mar my pleasure on this day. I finally have regained some faith in my fellow Americans. :thumb: :thumb: Ooooh, and Colorado is now a Blue State. YAY! Take that you born agains in Colorado Springs and conservative West Slope ranchers!

From an outsiders perspective, Obama is the most charismatic man to be the American President since JFK, and look what happened to him? The two have won their seats in such similar circumstances also. (a big part of that being support from the liberal entertainment industry)

That's the main reason for my thoughts on this matter. My other thought is that he should stay out of convertibles and away from grassy knolls.

I think you need to have a bit of a look at the history books Sam. :)

Bruce 9012 11-05-2008 06:13 PM

Thanks for seeing hollywood for what it is

Cicero 11-05-2008 06:15 PM

I think he'll get lucky, despite several attempts. Yes, that is the positive end.

Aliantha 11-05-2008 06:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bruce 9012 (Post 501619)
Thanks for seeing hollywood for what it is

A liberal entertainment industry? You say that like it's a bad thing.


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