![]() |
Cap and Trade
Interesting commentary from the WSJ:
Quote:
|
This is transparency????? What's the rush? What is hidden and what are they hiding?
Will Congress Read Bills Before Voting? Quote:
|
Get out your wallets. I am just glad I don't live where it snows.
House Democrats win key test vote on climate bill Quote:
|
Quote:
|
The inherent weakness in this plan is 1) It will only work if all companies participate. 2) How do they police the ones that participate or choose not to participate 3) If they rely on self reporting it will fail. 4) How do they conduct enforcement of the private corps.
|
I'm a little fuzzy on the part between the 12th paragraph and the 48th paragraph.
|
You can't really call it a 'tax'. It's a cost increase related to Washington's attempt to wean industry off of fossil fuels. Isn't it?
|
Quote:
|
June 24, 2009
CBO Grossly Underestimates Cost of Cap and Trade by David Kreutzer, Ph.D., Karen Campbell, Ph.D. and Nicolas Loris WebMemo #2503 Last week, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) released their analysis of the Waxman-Markey climate change bill that had proponents of the bill claiming Americans could save the planet for just $175 per household. That was the figure CBO estimated cap and trade would cost households in 2020 alone.[1] Both the CBO's analysis and the subsequent legislation are troubled: The analysis grossly underestimates economic costs while the legislation will have virtually no impact on climate. Overall, there are a number of basic problems with CBO's analysis: * Their allowance cost numbers do not add up; * They ignore economic costs such as the decrease in gross domestic product (GDP) as a result of the bill; and * The analysis is an accounting analysis, not an economic analysis. Problems with Costs and Distribution of Allowances The CBO's June 19 study projected that the allowance price--the price to emit carbon dioxide--will be $28 per ton of CO2 in 2020.[2] Since there are 5.056 billion tons of CO2 equivalent in the cap that year (the amount of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases businesses are allowed to emit), this projection implies a $141 billion gross cost; however, CBO lists the cost as $91.4 billion. Although there were no changes to the bill between June 5 and June 19, the CBO projected allowance revenues of $119.7 billion, $129.7 billion, $136 billion, $145.6 billion, and $152.9 billion for the years 2015-2019. As the cap on carbon dioxide becomes more stringent, one would expect the allowance revenue to continue to climb, not dramatically decrease to $91.4 billion.[3] The goal of a cap-and-trade program is to reduce the amount of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. In order to realize such reductions, cap-and-trade programs establish absolute limits on total emissions of greenhouse gases. Before businesses in a covered sector can emit a greenhouse gas, they need to have the ration coupons (also known as allowances) for each ton emitted.The price a firm pays for these allowances, euphemistically referred to as "climate revenue," should be considered tax revenue. CBO mistakenly assumes that the government spending and distribution of allowance revenue is the dollar-for-dollar equivalent to a direct cash rebate to energy consumers--that is, that the carbon tax is not a tax if the government spends the money, which is simply preposterous. Ignoring Economic Pain Most problematic is the CBO's complete omission of the economic damage resulting from restricted energy use. As footnote 3 on page 4 of the CBO analysis reads, "The resource cost does not indicate the potential decrease in gross domestic product (GDP) that could result from the cap. The reduction in GDP would also include indirect general equilibrium effects, such as changes in the labor supply resulting from reductions in real wages and potential reductions in the productivity of capital and labor."[4] In The Heritage Foundation's analysis of the Waxman-Markey climate change legislation, the GDP hit in 2020 was $161 billion (2009 dollars). For a family of four, that translates into $1,870--a pretty big chunk of change that the CBO is ignoring. It is also worth noting that, of the 24 years analyzed by The Heritage Foundation's Center for Data Analysis (CDA), 2020 had the second lowest GDP loss. Furthermore, the CDA found that for all years the average GDP loss was $393 billion, or over double the 2020 hit. In 2035 (the last year analyzed by Heritage) the inflation adjusted GDP loss works out to $6,790 per family of four--and that is before they pay their $4,600 share of the carbon taxes.[5] The negative economic impacts accumulate, and the national debt is no exception. The increase in family-of-four debt, solely because of Waxman-Markey, hits an astounding $114,915 by 2035.[6] An Accounting Analysis, Not an Economic One The CBO analysis is an accounting analysis of the flow of allowance revenue; it is not an economic analysis of the true opportunity cost of the bill. The analysis's "net cost" is essentially the cost of producing offsets and other emissions reductions--a process similar to a company's chief financial officer doing a cash-flow analysis of one investment project. The CBO does not take into account the dynamic general equilibrium consequences of the much higher energy prices: There are serious economic impacts from the energy price increases that they ignore. The CBO and Congress seem to assume that energy price increases can be mitigated by giving allowance revenue back to businesses and consumers. This is not how the economy works. Prices are merely an information signal about the relative scarcity of real resources that are being used. For example, if farmers use their land, labor, and equipment to produce offsets, instead of planting more food crops, the price of food will go up. Yet the CBO report ignores this reality. The CBO analysis cannot be used to debate the economic cost versus economic benefit of the bill. Instead, it can be used only to follow the money of the allowance revenue so policymakers and the public can understand exactly how that piece of the legislation is being handled. There is value in keeping an accounting of this revenue flow in order to determine who is getting what, but CBO should make it clear that this is the limit of their analysis. It is inappropriate to go beyond this analysis, for example, by comparing CBO's cost estimates to those of The Heritage Foundation, the National Black Chamber of Commerce, or even the EPA, as many Members of Congress are already doing. These Members are simply trying to compare two different cost concepts--accounting versus economic. Although the EPA's analysis is flawed for other reasons,[7] mostly because of unrealistic assumptions, they at least attempt to estimate the economic cost, which the CBO did not. Higher Taxes and Economic Devastation in Return for ... Nothing? Regardless of the CBO's cost estimates of the Waxman-Markey cap-and-trade program, the necessary second part of the question--what benefits do the costs generate?--remains unanswered. Americans will get almost nothing in exchange for these higher taxes, and the legislation will provide nothing for future generations except more debt and less economic opportunity. According to climatologist Chip Knappenberger, Waxman-Markey would moderate temperatures by only hundredths of a degree in 2050 and no more than two-tenths of a degree at the end of the century.[8] This does not sound like a great deal for the next generation--millions of lost jobs, trillions of lost income, 50-90 percent higher energy prices, and stunning increases in the national debt, all for undetectable changes in world temperature. The CBO analysis of Waxman-Markey fails to take into account all the adverse effects that will ripple through the U.S. economy if cap and trade becomes law. CBO's grossly underestimated costs means Members of Congress will be grossly misinformed when voting on the legislation. David W. Kreutzer, Ph.D., is Senior Policy Analyst for Energy Economics and Climate Change, and Karen A. Campbell, Ph.D., is Policy Analyst in Macroeconomics, in the Center for Data Analysis, and Nicolas Loris is a Research Assistant in the Thomas A. Roe Institute for Economic Policy Studies, at The Heritage Foundation. |
|
Wait a minute, I thought cap and trade was for murder weapon disposal.
|
hey check out this easy to read chart! It explains how it works.
http://www.uschamber.com/media/pdfs/waxmanmarkey.pdf The red dots are regulations the federal government will need to promulgate, the blue dots are other mandates. The box in the middle is the administrative review act process that every one of the red dots would have to go through. |
Quote:
|
Haggismyassis! After I just read those articles I posted on the Global Warming thread now I am twice as pissed.
http://cellar.org/showthread.php?t=18734&page=17 This one is on the Demoncratic majority in Congress. They are going to bankrupt this country. |
Quote:
Why not? Where is the money going? To the Feds? What else might one call this? "–noun 1. a sum of money demanded by a government for its support or for specific facilities or services, levied upon incomes, property, sales, etc. 2. a burdensome charge, obligation, duty, or demand." If you support this bill that's fine but let's not be euphemistic; it's a tax. |
Actually I don't think that I support this bill. I'm not done reading about it yet, but ... I was considering the first definition of word "tax" given in your post.
|
Quote:
:thumb: Too bad that Congress is going to pass it for anything short of 3 million torch and pitchfork wielding citizens storming DC. |
I can't figure out what it is supposed to accomplish (besides the obvious, lower carbon emissions). Is it supposed to force industry to change to "green" energy sources?
I recieved a message from the Mississippi Manufacturers Assn. which says "Because Mississippi cannot utilize some of the alternative energy sources, this legislation will have a disproportionately negative effect on our state." I'm not real sure, but I think this means that our industries don't lend themselves to "green" energy sources. Is this going to be like the bricklayers going out of business when poured concrete came on the scene? Oh yeah, I haz a pitchfork ... somewhere around here ... |
Quote:
2. To give the Feds control that they'd only dreamed possible. 3. To kill the economy flat, then build it back to a progressive utopia of socialism that it was truly intended to be. To give back Americas wealth to it's rightful owners. What else would you like clarification on? |
Seriously, though. What's the intent that they put on paper, the justification?
|
Quote:
|
Quote:
|
Quote:
I'm wondering if this is supposed to be like carrot-and-stick without the carrot. Are we going to beat Big Industry until it switches to green energy? I just can't quite wrap my head around the logic (maybe there isn't any). I've read the arguments about China et. al. and I certainly see the point. Isn't that what has played out already ... for example, some other countries don't have the strict environmental rules that the US does, so their products are cheaper? I don't think we need to be totally lax about environmental issues but I think this is a bad bill, for several reasons. I swear, just when you think one party is more st00pid than the other, they up and surprise ya. ETA: yeah, I understood the part about the cost working its way down to the consumer. |
The money goes where???????????
Quote:
|
Quote:
I certainly support the investment and encouragement of green energy and renewable sources. But right now they are not really fully developed. I would rather put more money into the research than hammering industry and the consumer with taxes to force compliance. |
Hmm. They go to tacking too many amendments on it, and the thing will die. Hopefully.
Where is your above info from? I'd like to read that article. |
Quote:
|
Thanks.
|
Potential Pitfalls of Cap and Trade:
Quote:
|
This sums it up quite nicely.
Cap and Trade; Big government is on a roll. Quote:
|
Its seems as though the cost is hard to pin down. MIT did a study in 2007 on cap-and-trade. Note that their scenario is different from Waxman-Markey somewhat.
Here is a link to the MIT study (big pdf). One scientist who worked on that study has said that his estimate is $800 per year, per household. Quote:
|
$800 per...?
|
Averaged over the years 2015 to 2050, annual cost for a family of four (original estimate was $340, changed to $800):
Quote:
|
Quote:
IMO they are going about it all wrong anyway. They are making it too fucking complicated. All they need to do, is subsidize companies that create clean energy plants (like solar or wind, etc.), and subsudize people solarizing their homes, or putting in personal wind mills, or whatever works in different areas, and then making energy companies buy back the excess energy at a fair rate. That would empower the people of this country, it would allow people who can't afford solar panels (or whatever) to have them, it wouldn't really need the cooperation of big energy, and everyone wins. Big energy gets clean power to sell back to customers, people who choose to participate will get a drastic reduction in energy costs, and people who create green energy and green energy jobs get start-up reduction in costs. It's a win-win. Of course big energy companies won't like it because it will end up cutting into their profits, but who cares. Maybe it would force them to change and get with the program. |
Quote:
|
I watched this show called Eco-Tech (on the Science Network) a few weeks ago about new alternative energy. Merc, it most definitely is developed, maybe not completely-all technology changes as innovation develops-but it is proven enough to start building the plants.
Apparently in South Florida, they have been developing turbines that will work under water, and are slated to be put in sometime over the next year or two. They are developing them to have the least impact on marine life. They are also looking at pumping the cold water from the bottom of the ocean to help cool all the waterfront condos and hotels. They think they can supply all the energy needs of the state with this technology. There was a meeting here recently to look at putting wind turbines off the coast in the ocean. Apparently Tybee is looking good for something like that. In Spain, they have built a solar tower, and plan to build a few more, that will power the whole city of Seville, or 600,000 people. And there is another city, I believe it is Norway, where almost the whole place is powered by alternative energy sources, including solar, and in a place where there isn't all that much sun. There is a man in Chicago who has devloped wind turbines that can be used in urban areas. They work very well on top of tall buildings, and high winds are not a problem like they would be with regular turbines. They are already working with the cities of Chicago and New York to use these to help power certain buildings, and they have a contract with India as well. Here is the company... http://www.aerotecture.com/ Here is another company supplying small wind turbines... http://www.mariahpower.com/ There is a man who has developed a very thin plastic that works as a solar collector. It might very well one day be used on roof tiles or in window shades to help power your house. (I'll supply the link later. I apparently don't have it saved in my favorites section and I will have to find the page where I wrote it down.) They talked about a lot more. You really should check out the show when it comes on again. I also watched an episode of Futurecar, called "the fuels," and apparantly Norway is already building a hydrogen highway. They have figured out how to supply hydrogen at the pump. They have designed cars that might one day power your house. It really is amazing. All these other countries are so far ahead of us it really is very sad. We think we are the best. We think we are so damn smart. We aren't. We are actually very, very foolish, because we just allow corporations to mandate how we live. |
Quote:
|
And the wind turbines I mentioned, I agree. But that isn't even being debating in the energy plan. It is all about big energy corporations. They need to think in a different way about it, and not worry if big energy gets upset.
And the reason I said that is because even the people of this country seem bent on discrediting anything different or new, and keeping those jerks in power and in control over the rest of us, in addition to those assholes in Washington. Other countries are really doing something about moving in that direction. We aren't. |
I think part of that is the many factions we have here - all pulling in different directions. It's difficult to arrive at agreement. Americans have a difficult time seeing the 'big picture' as it were.
|
Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s Global Warming Bill (HR 2454)
Quote:
|
Quote:
Politically, I hate the way this bill was slammed through the process without one congressman having read it. Commonplace? perhaps, but isn't that what was wrong in the past? Wasn't this time supposed to be different? It may be the same book with a shiny new cover and a much higher price tag. |
I'm not sure why anyone thinks that an unsolicited report from an unrelated office would be included in any official document, regardless of the subject.
|
Quote:
|
Heh. See the stuff I posted in the Global Warming thread. Same thing. Pretty disgusting what Congress has done to this country through this bill....
|
I'm not sure I trust anything coming from a think tank that is all about free enterprise and limited government, because those people will always side with industry. I am more interested in what actual scientists have to say, and the expedition that went to the North Pole for a couple of years says different...
"Future Earth: Journey to the End of the World," http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/29840099...v-future_earth Maybe that's why that report from CEI was left out. |
Yeh the guy with a wet finger in the air knows so much more. I mean they are selling those DVD's are they? Not a very objective source based upon the headline.
|
Today’s environmental movement behind global warming hysteria is a direct descendant of the movement that defeated the possibility of nuclear power in the United States 30 years ago. In a typical fashion these environmental activists have declared the debate closed and will accept no further questions on the subject. They prattle on about sustainable living with ingenious ideas like the no flush toilet. They brag about living “off the grid” in houses with solar panels without giving a second thought to how the glass, steel and tiles of those solar panels require the very factories and refineries that they wish to see shut down. These people have no idea how the industrial world works. Our lives depend on what fossil fuels can do for us. Our lives depend on the manufacturing of plastic, steel glass, paper plants and pharmaceutical plants. The environmentalists want our lives to depend on what windmills can do for us. That’s right windmills which can’t even produce enough energy to manufacture more windmills are supposed to give us everything else we depend on to live our lives.
|
National Review finds 50 things to object to with Waxman-Markey
Good work by them. This one, for example, blew me away: Quote:
From the looks of the 50, everyone who had lobbyists in Washington got a finger in the pie. The big energy companies all now support it because they get, basically, free money. Labor supports it because of the above. Monsanto supports it because there are farming regulations that will promote weed growth, thus more need for Roundup herbicides in farming. I shit you not. There are rules about televisions. Faucets. Candelabras. Nuclear energy is not counted as renewable. It continues the ethanol madness. It's full of corporate welfare. This bill is a major fuck. If it passes, it will be the first thing to really anger me about Obama, because I did think he would make more of an effort to remove lobbying from the Washington culture. As of now, the lobbyists have won... they are more powerful than ever. |
Quote:
There's a lot of things I don't like about this bill, but that's not one of them. |
Quote:
|
Quote:
|
Quote:
That being said, I do support it and think it ought to be a big part of our energy plan. As long as we follow something like the French model. |
Let's compromise and say partly renewable, because the fuel can be reprocessed and part of it used again to generate electricity.
|
Quote:
|
Quote:
You were expecting such a thing from a machine-politician Democrat? Oh please. The Dems are sowing the seeds of their destruction. |
Yes, but the difference is, as a strictly partisan if you're "right" about this, it's in a stopped clock sort of way. Here's wagering you never thought Obama would conduct Iraq and Afghanistan by listening to the Generals, as opposed to by his campaign rhetoric on the topic. I did, capice?
And furthermore the problem in this bill so far is the D House, not the D Senate or D President, so at the moment you are complaining about nothing. How stupid is that? |
Quote:
|
Your first sentence is difficult to understand clearly.
Quote:
They've been this feckless for a whole generation, UT, and unsuccessful at breaking totalitarianism for two. Winning this war with a Democratic President would constitute the first time that's happened since Truman. Truman left office three years and four months before I was born, and I'm going gray. Quote:
|
Quote:
Just a thought here.... He won't be president in 2020. I know its just poorly written, but still. Quote:
If they cannot command the rates they currently are getting how will they support their "friends"? Are they going to simply go away? Will they be less powerful or more determined than ever and take even more drastic measures? |
Quote:
Most affected businesses would tel you that they prefer long-term government policies that they can plan for (even if they oppose) rather than year-to-year government policy-making, in which business decisions are much difficult to make. Quote:
|
| All times are GMT -5. The time now is 10:34 AM. |
Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.8.1
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.