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TheMercenary 12-31-2009 04:08 PM

The Second Coming (of bailouts)
 
Quote:

Dec. 30 (Bloomberg) -- To close out 2009, I decided to do something I bet no member of Congress has done -- actually read from cover to cover one of the pieces of sweeping legislation bouncing around Capitol Hill.

Hunkering down by the fire, I snuggled up with H.R. 4173, the financial-reform legislation passed earlier this month by the House of Representatives. The Senate has yet to pass its own reform plan. The baby of Financial Services Committee Chairman Barney Frank, the House bill is meant to address everything from too-big-to-fail banks to asleep-at-the-switch credit-ratings companies to the protection of consumers from greedy lenders.

I quickly discovered why members of Congress rarely read legislation like this. At 1,279 pages, the “Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act” is a real slog. And yes, I plowed through all those pages. (Memo to Chairman Frank: “ystem” at line 14, page 258 is missing the first “s”.)

The reading was especially painful since this reform sausage is stuffed with more gristle than meat. At least, that is, if you are a taxpayer hoping the bailout train is coming to a halt.

If you’re a banker, the bill is tastier. While banks opposed the legislation, they should cheer for its passage by the full Congress in the New Year: There are huge giveaways insuring the government will again rescue banks and Wall Street if the need arises.

Nuggets Gleaned

Here are some of the nuggets I gleaned from days spent reading Frank’s handiwork:
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?p...d=a48c8UpUMxKQ

TheMercenary 12-31-2009 04:11 PM

And more money for our now Nationally owned GMAC. Yea, our country needs to control companies through ownership of stock. That is what we are all about now, right?

Treasury to dole out $3.8 billion to GMAC, raise stake

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The U.S. is injecting another $3.8 billion into GMAC Financial Services to help cover mortgage losses, in a bailout that makes the government the majority owner of the auto and home finance company.

http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE5BT06O20091230

xoxoxoBruce 12-31-2009 04:28 PM

Are they helping GMAC or are they helping the people with those loans by allowing GMAC to be flexible with the repayment schedules?

TheMercenary 12-31-2009 04:43 PM

Good question. But now that we are majority owners we can ask them.

tw 01-01-2010 05:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheMercenary (Post 622120)
Treasury to dole out $3.8 billion to GMAC, raise stake

Want to see how large GM's money games were? GM mortgaged everything possible over the past 30 years to claim profits and to protect their "largest automaker" title. Money games made legal due to America's defective accounting practices - because profits are more important than products.

Where are those GM customers over the last two years praising their purchase of GM products? Why so much silence?

We are now only just beginning to pay the price for 30 years of crappy and anti-American products. GMAC was only one 'money pit' from which GM invented profits.

How much has GMAC taken? Is it something like $13 billion? And the $20 billion that GM shorted the pension funds (see PBGC). $10billion for health care funds. How many tens of $billions did the government also give for that 61% ownership?

Where was everyone back before the Cellar even existed when I cited GM's obviously crappy products that now make bailouts necessary? Yes, for as long as there has been a Cellar, I have been overtly critical of GM products and those who bought them - even while I worked there.

Someone still has to explain to me why banks are making profits when 14% of this nation's home mortgages are in default (and not in foreclosure). Numbers still do not reflect reality. But then that is why MBAs always get promoted at the expensive of innovators and other product people. That is why George Jr also lied so often. For those who did not know - George Jr was also an MBA.

For some reason, I suspect that others here finally appreciate what I have been saying all along. What's a billion here and a billion there? Nothing until the bills come due four and ten years later. GMAC is simply another example of how we are averting debts that GM has fostered upon all of us – so that management could rake in massive bonuses.

What is the purpose of a company? Profits – especially to top management – no matter how much it screws America. What is good for GM is good for America. That also came from business school graduates.

tw 01-01-2010 05:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by xoxoxoBruce (Post 622125)
Are they helping GMAC or are they helping the people with those loans by allowing GMAC to be flexible with the repayment schedules?

A large part of GMAC's portfolio is home mortgages. Nationally 14% are in default. And do not yet appear on spread sheets because so few foreclosures have started. Despite so much openly declared transparency, the accounting standards continue in a 'business as usual' mode. We do not yet know how bad GMAC really is. It may be so deep that bankruptcy was no longer an option.

We still don't know even how bad AIG was in 2007 - according to their own top management. Executives at 70 Pine knew even that long ago that AIG was on the verge of toppling. They said nothing. And still put forth rosy spread sheets - because "He makes the spread sheets say what they have to say".

Finance people must be some of the most regulated people in America. They are taught even in school to be corrupt - because profits are more important than anything else.

We still don't know how deep this GMAC mess will be because accounting problems exposed by Long Term Capital Management and Enron ten years earlier were ignored - first by the American accounting industry and then by political agendas that did not know how bad (deep) this problem was.

classicman 01-01-2010 07:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tw (Post 622402)
Where was everyone back before the Cellar even existed
when I cited GM's obviously crappy products that now make bailouts necessary?

Huh?

SamIam 01-01-2010 08:41 PM

What I want to know is now that Taxpayers have become unwilling owners of GMC, will be allowed to vote in shareholder's meetings? Will we get dividends like other stock holders. Can we sell our shares if we don't like the way GMC is doing?

classicman 01-01-2010 09:27 PM

dream on ...

tw 01-01-2010 09:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SamIam (Post 622466)
What I want to know is now that Taxpayers have become unwilling owners of GMC, will be allowed to vote in shareholder's meetings?

We own the mutual fund. The fund manager already threw out Rick Wagoner for painfully obvious reasons.

Unfortunately, the Chairman who is current in power was previously from AT&T. Enought to worry. Not enough to make a conclusion.

TheMercenary 01-03-2010 09:28 AM

Quote:

The Obama administration’s $75 billion program to protect homeowners from foreclosure has been widely pronounced a disappointment, and some economists and real estate experts now contend it has done more harm than good.
Quote:

Some experts argue the program has impeded economic recovery by delaying a wrenching yet cleansing process through which borrowers give up unaffordable homes and banks fully reckon with their disastrous bets on real estate, enabling money to flow more freely through the financial system.

“The choice we appear to be making is trying to modify our way out of this, which has the effect of lengthening the crisis,” said Kevin Katari, managing member of Watershed Asset Management, a San Francisco-based hedge fund. “We have simply slowed the foreclosure pipeline, with people staying in houses they are ultimately not going to be able to afford anyway.”
Quote:

The Treasury Department publicly maintains that its program is on track. “The program is meeting its intended goal of providing immediate relief to homeowners across the country,” a department spokeswoman, Meg Reilly, wrote in an e-mail message.

But behind the scenes, Treasury officials appear to have concluded that growing numbers of delinquent borrowers simply lack enough income to afford their homes and must be eased out.

In late November, with scant public disclosure, the Treasury Department started the Foreclosure Alternatives Program, through which it will encourage arrangements that result in distressed borrowers surrendering their homes. The program will pay incentives to mortgage companies that allow homeowners to sell properties for less than they owe on their mortgages — short sales, in real estate parlance. The government will also pay incentives to mortgage companies that allow delinquent borrowers to hand over their deeds in lieu of foreclosing.
epic failure at a cost of billions to the American Taxpayer.....

Quote:

“Are we creating a program in which we’re talking about potentially spending $75 billion to try to modify people into mortgages that will reduce the number of foreclosures in the short term, but just kick the can down the road?”
My point exactly.

http://www.nytimes.com/2010/01/02/bu...modify.html?em

classicman 01-03-2010 12:27 PM

Whats the alternative? We cannot just kick all these people out on the street and the rental prices are not as favorable as one might imagine.
IIRC, the rental prices have actually increased recently, further limiting options.

Is this the lesser evil choice? I've wondered, but don't know of a viable alternative.

TheMercenary 01-03-2010 01:48 PM

So where does it end? You get in over your head you get out on your own. Move to an apartment. Do what ever you have to do. But expect the government to continually bail you out over and over year after year?

All we are doing is delaying the inevitable. Many of these people are just not going to make it.

classicman 01-03-2010 02:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheMercenary (Post 622997)
All we are doing is delaying the inevitable. Many of these people are just not going to make it.

and . . . whats the next step? Where do they go? What do they do? Whats the plan?

xoxoxoBruce 01-03-2010 05:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheMercenary (Post 622997)
So where does it end? You get in over your head you get out on your own. Move to an apartment. Do what ever you have to do. But expect the government to continually bail you out over and over year after year?

All we are doing is delaying the inevitable. Many of these people are just not going to make it.

Two reasons they can't make the mortgage payments.
1- the interest rate skyrocketed.
2- they are unemployed.
I wonder how the people in trouble divide up?

You're right, in that the corporate balance sheets have to be squared away, to get the business of business back on track more quickly. Although evicting those people leaves the banks with more empty houses that aren't selling, so they are still short on cash. On the upside more empty houses means more opportunities for the homeless to hunt and gather copper and aluminum. Oh crap, that will make my empty cans worth even less.:(

But like classic said, what are you going to do with families where the breadwinner is out of work, and will be for awhile? Let them be hunter/gatherers? Now the kids can't go to school because they don't live in the district. But the schools might not be there anyway without the tax revenue. Oh, maybe that's what those secret government camps are for? Well, fuck 'em, as long as we're doing OK, eh?

Wait, there's a third group. The three quarters of a million that are bankrupted by medical bills every year. There is hope there though, I mean they're already sick, maybe some of them will die. Then the spouse and kids can, uh, do something. But I Hope they don't wander the streets, jaywalking and shit... that would slow me down.
Hmm, there's lots of room and a milder climate down south... maybe give 'em free railroad tickets, after all we own it... Hmm.

jinx 01-03-2010 05:38 PM

Seems like the more 'help' that is doled out to constituents, the more people expect to have done for them, and the less they can imagine anyone possibly taking care of themselves. How helpful is that?

xoxoxoBruce 01-03-2010 05:45 PM

So what do you do with tens of millions of people that are unemployed and now homeless. Homeless people at like neglected cats and dogs, they'll amuse themselves and you won't like how they do it. :headshake

classicman 01-03-2010 06:33 PM

On the whole I agree with Jinx, but it still leaves the issue of how much help is too much.

xoxoxoBruce 01-03-2010 06:38 PM

Principles of economics and behavior theory are interesting discussions, and the welfare system proved it can be harmful. But that was a creeping, systematic, fuck up.

Right here, right now, what do you do with tens of millions of people, probably half of them children, that are suddenly homeless and without income or food?

TheMercenary 01-04-2010 07:01 AM

Well for one you can stop throwing good money at bad programs and start to provide some help for the families through well defined temporary bridge programs to get them into some other type of housing that is appropriate for their budgets. Hell, take the money and buy down their loans but that does not fix the overall problems of shady lenders and shady buyers getting away with tax payer money for bad personal behavior and decisions. I know that the longer we prop them up the longer it is going to take for a correction to occur. A number of economists are talking about how we are doing nothing more than delaying the inevitable for many of these people and lenders.

TheMercenary 01-04-2010 02:06 PM

An opinion piece by economists from the University of Chicago...

Uncertainty and the Slow Recovery

Quote:

The second factor is less obvious, but possibly also of great importance. Liberal Democrats won a major victory in the 2008 elections, winning the presidency and large majorities in both the House and Senate. They interpreted this as evidence that a large majority of Americans want major reforms in the economy, health-care and many other areas. So in addition to continuing and extending the Bush-initiated bailout of banks, AIG, General Motors, Chrysler and other companies, Congress and President Obama signaled their intentions to introduce major changes in taxes, government spending and regulations—changes that could radically transform the American economy.

The efforts to transform the economy began with a fiscal stimulus package of nearly $800 billion. While some elements served the package's stated purpose and helped to soften the recession's impact, the overall package was not well designed to foster a speedy recovery or set the stage for long-term growth. Instead, the "stimulus" was oriented to sectors that liberal Democrats believe are deserving of much greater federal help. This explains why much of the stimulus money is going toward education, health, energy conservation, and other activities that would do little to soak up unemployed resources and stimulate the economy.
Quote:

Government statistics tell a similar story. Business investment in the third quarter of 2009 is down 20% from the low levels a year earlier. Job openings are at the lowest level since the government began measuring the concept in 2000. The pace of new job creation by expanding businesses is slower than at any time in the past two decades and, though older data are not as reliable, likely slower than at any time in the past half-century. While layoffs and new claims for unemployment benefits have declined in recent months, job prospects for unemployed workers have continued to deteriorate. The exit rate from unemployment is lower now than any time on record, dating back to 1967.




http://online.wsj.com/article/SB1000...732528426.html

classicman 01-04-2010 02:13 PM

So, whats your point? Its all Bush's fault.

TheMercenary 01-04-2010 02:22 PM

No, not at all. Just that what ever the current Congress thought they were fixing they are not and there is no promise that throwing more money at it will fix it either. They are prolonging the pain and artifically proping up the economy. Somewhere this all this whorish spending needs to stop.

TheMercenary 01-04-2010 02:27 PM

Derivatives and what may have been a better approach...

Time to put the brakes on big business bailouts

Quote:

By one estimate, nearly half of derivative transactions could still remain outside public exchanges — unrestrained by the rules such exchanges would impose.

That was a setback, and it wasn’t the only one. House members approved provisions that would provide government backing for bank debt — an implicit pledge of future bailouts — if a “liquidity event” threatens to “destabilize the financial system.”

This pledge could encourage large institutions to take more risks in the belief their obligations would be backed up by the taxpayer. That’s not the direction financial reform should take.

In fact, the bailout mentality that infects Washington seems unabated. As Congress debates financial reform, the rest of the government is taking steps that will substantially increase taxpayer liability.

The Treasury recently eliminated the $400 billion cap on how much tax money could be shoveled into Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Meanwhile, the Federal Housing Administration is extending taxpayer guarantees to dubious, low-down-payment loans, increasing the risk that this agency, like Fannie and Freddie, will also be forced to seek a bailout.

Regulatory agencies have a role to play in assessing risk, but tougher borrowing standards should be woven more deeply into the regulatory reform effort. Risk assessment will always be imperfect, but a system with less debt and more capital will be better prepared to weather a crisis.
http://www.kansascity.com/340/story/1662381.html

classicman 01-04-2010 03:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheMercenary (Post 623444)
They are prolonging the pain and artificially propping up the economy. Somewhere this all this whorish spending needs to stop.

Perhaps they are spreading the pain out instead of taking a major hit all at once that would have worse repercussions.
Just guessing here.

TheMercenary 01-04-2010 03:29 PM

From my reading of the above article it seems to me that there are still some back door deals being done and that the barn door remains partially open. But in the name of spending we are going to "fix" the problem, and create jobs. It seems neither goal has been achieved and people still are feeling the pain.

TheMercenary 01-06-2010 08:45 PM

Follow the money... to where?

Quote:

As much as $9.5 million in federal stimulus dollars went to 14 zip codes in Virginia that don’t exist or are in other states, Old Dominion Watchdog (http://virginia.watchdog.org) reports. The fake zip codes were listed on Recovery.gov, the federal Web site that is supposed to track how the stimulus money is being used.
http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/op...-80795072.html

The phony zip codes are a new wrinkle in Recovery.gov’s increasingly tattered credibility. In November, Ed Pound, director of communications for the Recovery Accountability and Transparency Board, said a rash of phantom congressional districts found on the website were the result of confusion by fund recipients, who apparently didn’t know who their congressman was.

But who would give millions of dollars to somebody who doesn’t even know their own zip code?

More fake zip codes here

UPDATE: Even with a real zip code, it takes seven hours for one firm to report back to Recovery.gov on its $2,000 stimulus contract.[

Redux 01-06-2010 11:38 PM

Phony zip codes?

More likely, data entry errors, as most of the independent watchdog groups suggested and which is to be expected to some small degree with any large data base that relies on information from external sources.

But absolutely the Oversight Board needs to fix the data-base to deal with the small number of self-reporting errors by the more than 100,000 grant/contract recipients.

TheMercenary 01-07-2010 08:14 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Redux (Post 624537)
Phony zip codes?

More likely, data entry errors, as most of the independent watchdog groups suggested and which is to be expected to some small degree with any large data base that relies on information from external sources.

So where's the money? More importantly, where are the Millions of "Shovel Ready Jobs"?

Redux 01-07-2010 05:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheMercenary (Post 624596)
So where's the money? More importantly, where are the Millions of "Shovel Ready Jobs"?

Been there and done that...two or three times already.

I'm not going to convince you that the recovery program has created and/or saved hundreds of thousands of jobs to-date while spending or obligating only about 1/3 of the total funds to-date and, in the opinion of many economists across the spectrum,. has contributed to preventing the economy from continuing on a unsustainable downward spiral.

And you're not going to convince me it has failed, particularly since it was envisioned as a 18-24 month program and we just passed the nine month mark.

So what's the point of further discussion?

TheMercenary 01-08-2010 09:04 PM

Economy loses 85K jobs as employers remain wary]

Employers cut more jobs than expected in December, unemployment rate holds at 10 percent

Quote:

WASHINGTON (AP) -- Lack of confidence in the economic recovery led employers to shed a more-than-expected 85,000 net jobs in December even as the unemployment rate held at 10 percent. The rate would have been higher if more people had been looking for work instead of leaving the labor force because they can't find jobs.

The sharp drop in the work force -- 661,000 fewer people -- showed that more of the jobless are giving up. Once people stop looking for jobs, they're no longer counted among the unemployed.

When discouraged workers and part-time workers who would prefer full-time jobs are included, the so-called "underemployment" rate in December rose to 17.3 percent, from 17.2 percent in November. That's just below a revised figure of 17.4 percent in October, the highest on records dating from 1994.

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Econom....html?x=0&.v=8

TheMercenary 01-08-2010 09:23 PM

Quote:

If you will recall back in December, Obama's pay czar announced pay limits for those evil corporations that received bailout money. Employees of bailed out companies can no longer earn a base salary of more than $500,000. Not only that .. but at least half of that salary would have to come in the form of company stock.

Now let's move on to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. They have received more than $111 billion in taxpayer money to stay afloat. In fact, the Obama administration has since pledged "unlimited financial assistance" to Fannie and Freddie. Are you sitting down? OK ... then hear this. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac? Their two CEOs are getting paid as much as $6 million for 2009.
Boortz

skysidhe 01-08-2010 09:29 PM

Revisions to the previous two months' data showed the economy actually generated 4,000 jobs in November, the first gain in nearly two years. But the revisions showed it also lost 16,000 more jobs than previously estimated in October.

The report caps a disastrous year for U.S. workers. Employers cut 4.2 million jobs in 2009

We lost 4.2 million jobs last year but gained 4,000 jobs!?
That's recovery?









TheMercenary 01-08-2010 09:30 PM

No. But they want you to think it is.

TheMercenary 01-08-2010 09:33 PM

Demoncrats buy the union vote...

Quote:

Senators Benjamin L. Cardin and Barbara A. Mikulski (both D-Md.) today announced the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act includes funding for job training in renewable and energy efficient industries in Maryland through the Department of Labor (DOL).

This $4.6 million ARRA grant has been awarded H-CAP, Inc to provide enhanced skills training to job seekers and entry-level environmental service workers for new and emerging green jobs in the healthcare industry. The project will operate in Baltimore City, Baltimore County and Prince George’s County in Maryland, as well as counties in New York, California and the District of Columbia.

“This Partnership is funded with recovery dollars and it is an investment in our future – a future in which our state and nation will become more energy efficient and independent and one that will create new, green jobs that will help grow our economy,” said Senator Cardin, a member of the Senate Budget Committee.

“This funding is exactly what the American Recovery & Reinvestment Act is all about – creating and sustaining jobs today and preparing for the jobs of tomorrow,” Senator Mikulski said. “This grant will give Marylanders the opportunity to get the training they need to find and keep a job, while also helping to make sure that health care in Maryland is environmentally friendly.”

H-CAP, Inc. will partner with the Service Employees International Union (SEIU) in Maryland as well as Health Care Without Harm (HCWH), a coalition that promotes environmentally-friendly healthcare practices, to train approximately 3,000 job seekers. The project will also develop new curricula that will cover the role of environmental service workers in green healthcare, the development of cross-industry green jobs and green career pathways for entry-level workers.
Quote:

Yesterday the Department of Labor announced the release of $100M in grants funded by the stimulus bill to “support green job training programs to help dislocated workers and others, including veterans, women, African Americans and Latinos, find jobs in expanding green industries and related occupations”.

This is only a portion of the $500M total allocated by the stimulus bill for such purposes. Back in November an initial $55 million in grants were released, the bulk of which went to state-run job training programs, with relatively small amounts going to community job training programs.

However, the primary recipients of the latest $100M in grants are a little more noteworthy:

* UAW Labor Employment and Training Corporation – $3,200,000
* 1199SEIU Family of Funds (disguised as “HCAP, Inc.”) -$4,637,551
* Utility Workers Union of America (UWUA), AFL*CIO – $4,993,922
* International Transportation Learning Center (whose board consists almost exclusively of union leaders) – $5,000,000
* International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers and the National Electrical Contractors Association – $5,000,000
* Institute for Career Development (aka United Steelworkers) – $4,658,983
* Blue Green Alliance (whose members consist largely of unions) – $5,000,000
* Communications Workers of America – $3,969,056
* Thomas Shortman Training Scholarship and Safety Fund (SEIU) – $2,802,269
http://www.verumserum.com/?p=11408

skysidhe 01-08-2010 09:36 PM

ha!

we were looking at the same article!

I'm just slow. I need to change my user title.

Redux 01-08-2010 10:12 PM

sky.....You can look at one year or look at the larger issue:

Quote:

For most of the past 70 years, the U.S. economy has grown at a steady clip, generating perpetually higher incomes and wealth for American households. But since 2000, the story is starkly different.

The past decade was the worst for the U.S. economy in modern times, a sharp reversal from a long period of prosperity that is leading economists and policymakers to fundamentally rethink the underpinnings of the nation's growth.

It was, according to a wide range of data, a lost decade for American workers. The decade began in a moment of triumphalism -- there was a current of thought among economists in 1999 that recessions were a thing of the past. By the end, there were two, bookends to a debt-driven expansion that was neither robust nor sustainable.

There has been zero net job creation since December 1999. No previous decade going back to the 1940s had job growth of less than 20 percent. Economic output rose at its slowest rate of any decade since the 1930s as well.

Middle-income households made less in 2008, when adjusted for inflation, than they did in 1999.
...

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn...l?hpid=topnews
It become particularly dramatic and evident with the downward economic spiral in 07-08 ...the worst in 70 years.

Many economists are of the opinion that the recovery plan, even in the first 9 months of a 18-24 month plan, have contributed to slowing down that spiral. No one would suggest that the economy could be turned around over night, but most measures, except employment (always the last to recover) show improvement in the last nine months.

Most of the recovery money has yet to be spent (by intent) and is directed towards retooling the economy by focusing on developing new energy technologies, a national broadband network, wide spread infrastructure improvement, investments in health technology, investments in education...all critical if you're interest is looking forward to be better positioned to compete in a global economy in which we may have lost the competitive edge that we enjoyed for decades.

The massive tax cuts in 01 and 03, mostly for the top bracket and at a cost of more than $1 trillion, certainly didnt lead to economic prosperity for most Americans as was promised or transform the economy to a more forward thinking plain.

So, what would you have suggested doing differently?

xoxoxoBruce 01-09-2010 02:03 AM

Quote:

The past decade was the worst for the U.S. economy in modern times, a sharp reversal from a long period of prosperity that is leading economists and policymakers to fundamentally rethink the underpinnings of the nation's growth.
walmart

Griff 01-09-2010 07:20 AM

It might be neat to actually make something in the States. Our wrong-headed education system is part of the problem. Real shop classes where kids build stuff are being eliminated in favor of No Child Left Behind nonsense. Kids don't use their hands at school anymore because they're being prepared for an economy that does not exist. I think I'm going to invest in welding equipment for my daughters...

Undertoad 01-09-2010 01:52 PM

Let's have a good 20% of the school year from age 13-17 be spent learning things we must actually do. Driving, personal finances, wood shop, cooking class, basic electric/plumbing/HVAC, and sex education.

skysidhe 01-09-2010 05:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Griff (Post 625175)
It might be neat to actually make something in the States. Our wrong-headed education system is part of the problem. Real shop classes where kids build stuff are being eliminated in favor of No Child Left Behind nonsense. Kids don't use their hands at school anymore because they're being prepared for an economy that does not exist. I think I'm going to invest in welding equipment for my daughters...

whoo hoo go you!

I always wished I had the opportunity to do mechanical work instead of home economics. Even recently I wish I had a lathe I would make canes and bird houses.

Welding would be another useful skill except the bird houses would be kinda wet and heavy. :p

glatt 01-11-2010 11:46 AM

John Ratzenberger (yes, the actor who played Cliff Clavin on Cheers) was talking about this in the most recent issue of Make magazine. He's pushing this idea of an "Industrial Tsunami" that's about to hit the United States. He says that the average age of skilled workers like welders, carpenters, rebar setters, etc. is in the upper 50, and that virtually nobody is training to replace them. When they all retire, he basically argues that the US is screwed. There are plenty of unskilled helpers out there, but skilled workers are very hard to find.

After reading that article, I was toying with the idea of getting a welding rig so I could teach my kids how to weld. (And learn myself.)

I settled for buying snap circuits for them.

tw 01-11-2010 06:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by xoxoxoBruce (Post 625154)
walmart

Wal-Mart is example of where America does work. Wal-Mart constantly learns what and how products are manufactured. As a Wal-Mart supplier, if you are not doing your job (ie RubberMaid), then an informed Wal-Mart pressures you even to the point of bankruptcy. Wal-Mart is where America works.

Why did Wal-Mart discover incandescent bulbs made no sense? Because Wal-Mart learned how the work gets done AND demanded companies change immediately to provide innovative products. GE refused. So Wal-Mart cut GE off; went to Phillips who offered to innovate. Suddenly GE started making light bulbs that consumed seven times less energy.

America that works is a country that innovates. And that is the problem. Not that American has insufficient welders and carpenters. The problem is that America has too many students that are communication and business school graduates. People who can only promote the status quo; who have so little experience as to never even see an innovation until long after it is no longer innovative.

The problem is already appearing in patches. General Motors that will not innovate until required to by Federal regulations. Silicon Valley that cannot find technically (computer literate) knowledgeable Americans. Silicon Valley is where ICs are important. ICs - the most common employee is now a Chinese or Indian immigrant.

Some benchmarks for technical ignorance. Show me a computer repairman who knows how electricity works? Rather than use a volt meter to identify a defective power system component, the naive computer tech will foolishly keep swapping parts until something works. A problem demonstrated by Consumer Reports that could not get simplest computer problems fixed properly. Often starting by swapping the power supply - because he has no technical knowledge. So naive that he considers himself an expert only because he can swap parts.

Another benchmark - do you have a surge protector on your computer? Then you have made computer damage even easier. How many buy a surge protector only because they were told (ordered - blindly believed) to - rather than first ask questions such as what does it do? Another example of America that does not train people how to think. That only rewards those to promote the status quo.

The only thing that creates jobs is innovation. The only thing.

classicman 01-11-2010 08:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tw (Post 625720)
The only thing that creates jobs is innovation. The only thing.

Desire would be another.

xoxoxoBruce 01-11-2010 11:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Griff (Post 625175)
It might be neat to actually make something in the States. Our wrong-headed education system is part of the problem. Real shop classes where kids build stuff are being eliminated in favor of No Child Left Behind nonsense. Kids don't use their hands at school anymore because they're being prepared for an economy that does not exist. I think I'm going to invest in welding equipment for my daughters...

Well, the school board has been reading this. :eyebrow:


btw, I better buy more incandesant bulbs before those fuckers at walmart force me to use bulbs I don't like, don't want and won't work on my dimmers.:mad:

tw 01-12-2010 01:36 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by classicman (Post 625751)
Desire would be another.

Desire without innovation only results in nothing - or rape.

TheMercenary 01-12-2010 08:38 AM

We had shop class in my highschool. In fact we had Metal shop, Wood shop, Auto shop, and a Photography Shop. Each had a separate huge bay at the end of the school. It was pretty cool. It was a great place for the kids to go concentrate and be exposed to different traditional trades if they were not going to go on to college. I am sure they are long gone by now.

Shawnee123 01-12-2010 08:42 AM

I rocked when we got to take shop in Jr Hi. Got an A on my trivet. ;) Sewing, not so much...

I guess I'm in a good place: I don't think jobs in higher education will go away, but I also have years of experience in electronics and other things, mainly for defense contractors, and skills such as mil-spec high reliability soldering, testing, building, and supervising and teaching such skills.

When the machines take over, I'll be in a good spot.

glatt 01-12-2010 01:06 PM

I just got back from a tour of the middle school my daughter will be attending next year.

She will have a choice of joining their band, which is a really very good program and well known in the area, or participating in the "Admiral's wheel" where she gets to have a bunch of rotating electives like shop and home economics and a bunch of other similar stuff. (Except they don't call them that.)

The shop, or technological arts, as I think they call it, is pretty cool. I saw 1 table saw, 2 drill presses, a small CNC router, a table top wind tunnel!, numerous PCs, some sort of presses for maybe doing t-shirts, and some other stuff that I can't remember now. When we poked our heads into the room, the students had a bunch of cheap looking cameras set up on tripods and connected to the PCs. It looked like they were playing with the cameras.

I wish it wasn't an either/or scenario. The band would be really good for her, since she enjoys playing the trombone, but I think the Admiral's wheel would teach her more life skills.

classicman 01-12-2010 02:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tw (Post 625816)
Desire without innovation only results in nothing - or rape.

:eyebrow:

Shawnee123 01-12-2010 02:45 PM

t-dub, imma let you finish, but seriously, rape is about violence, not desire.

kthxbai

tw 01-12-2010 07:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Shawnee123 (Post 626006)
t-dub, imma let you finish, but seriously, rape is about violence, not desire.

How does one be violent without desiring to be violent? And how does that violence create productive jobs?

Desire does not create the jobs. Innovation does. One can desire to be innovative. But only those who actually are innovative create jobs (not to be confused with the Pink Panther who was innovative).

tw 01-12-2010 07:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Shawnee123 (Post 625870)
I rocked when we got to take shop in Jr Hi. Got an A on my trivet.

A trivet? A three legged stand? What is that? What does that do?

TheMercenary 01-12-2010 07:40 PM

The artificial bubble. The markets are being artificially proped up by the bailouts.

From the Economist:

http://www.economist.com/displayStor...ry_id=15211520

Shawnee123 01-12-2010 09:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tw (Post 626072)
A trivet? A three legged stand? What is that? What does that do?

You have access to Google, right? A trivet. Something you put a hot plate or pot on. But mine was handcrafted from wood, no hot plate or pot saw the surface of my trivet. Ethan Allen himself could not have constructed a finer trivet. (I stole that last line from a TV show, I admit.)

I was in 8th grade, dude, getting to work with saws and things. I found I had a knack.

I'll see if my 'rents still have my trivet (bet they do) and I'll photograph it for you, in all its fine workmanship. :lol:

Redux 01-12-2010 10:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Shawnee123 (Post 626139)

I was in 8th grade, dude, getting to work with saws and things. I found I had a knack.

I was in high school when The Knack released that god-awful My Sharonna.

tw 01-12-2010 10:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Shawnee123 (Post 626139)
I'll see if my 'rents still have my trivet (bet they do) and I'll photograph it for you, in all its fine workmanship.

With age, it is sometimes interesting to pull out something I built so many decades ago that I hardly remember it. In some cases (only some) I am impressed by how good I did. A response that goes, "I did that? ... Oh. ... Yea."

TheMercenary 01-13-2010 11:21 AM

Faux Recovery


Quote:

By David Harsanyi

One glorious day, all of us will awaken in our mixed-use neighborhoods, rustle up nutritious garden-grown breakfasts and pedal our bikes to "green-collar" jobs using paths generously provided by the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act.

As of this moment, however, the "green energy economy" is incapable of spurring the taillights on a motor scooter (much less an economic recovery) without a backup gas-powered generator and government subsidy.


Why, then -- just as we learned that 85,000 Americans "unexpectedly," as news stories put it, had lost their jobs last month -- did the Obama administration pin recovery hopes on a colossally misguided social engineering project?

We're not talking about last year's colossally misguided stimulus plan, which "created" and/or "saved" an incalculable number of nonexistent jobs in various imaginary ZIP codes -- though we do continue to learn more about that slapdash experiment.

At the time of the stimulus debate, President Barack Obama asserted that the "urgent need to accelerate job growth" would be tied to spending on (ethically approved) transportation projects. Yet The Associated Press reported this week that unemployment rates rose and fell regardless of how much money Washington doled out; the report was reviewed by independent economists at five universities.
continues:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/art...ery_99868.html

Redux 01-13-2010 01:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheMercenary (Post 626248)

I guess it is safe to assume that you dont want to address the issue of the "lost decade" or offer a better solution to long-term economy recovery.

piercehawkeye45 01-13-2010 02:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheMercenary (Post 625868)
We had shop class in my highschool. In fact we had Metal shop, Wood shop, Auto shop, and a Photography Shop. Each had a separate huge bay at the end of the school. It was pretty cool. It was a great place for the kids to go concentrate and be exposed to different traditional trades if they were not going to go on to college. I am sure they are long gone by now.

They still existed in my middle and high school. A shop class was required in 6th and 7th grade, and then optional in 8th, 10th, 11th, or 12th.

We also had cooking, sewing, personal finance, and other classes like that. My high school has gone to complete shit since I left so I don't know what they still have nowadays.


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