Betting tips

[Undertoad]

Originally Posted by W.HI.P

St.Louis Rams @ Philadelphia Eagles(-8.5)

YEY, My Eagles should get the win here!
I hope my team proves me wrong, as I can't imagine how they'll avoid 4th place in their division.

I don't put much faith in the first week, but... if this first qtr is anything to go by, healthy McNabb and healthy L.J. Smith are making this look like the premium offense of the Super Bowl year. And swarming defense got a critical sack. I like!!!

[Undertoad]

Oohhh... at the half, this is a traditional Eagles blowout with all three of offense, defense and special teams participating... 21-0 capped by a 91-yard pass to the slot receiver Baskett. McNabb spreads the ball around so much, if there's a problem in your pass defense he will find it.

glatt has McNabb in the fantasy league - he'll win... McNabb with 297 passing yards and 3 passing TDs at the half... great quarterback, or the greatest quarterback? And I have Bulger... the Eagles have limited him to 72 passing yards which translates to 2 points for me.

[W.HI.P]

Originally Posted by Undertoad

I don't put much faith in the first week, but... if this first qtr is anything to go by, healthy McNabb and healthy L.J. Smith are making this look like the premium offense of the Super Bowl year. And swarming defense got a critical sack. I like!!!

It was very impressive.
Donovan was always amongst the elite.
Health has kept him away from greatness.
Big game coming up in Dallas!!!

How good is that 12/1 AFC east winner bet looking on the Bills now that Brady is out for the season?!!

The two best running backs in the NFL play tonight in their season debut.
Tough Adrian Peterson faces a hard hitting defence where the fastest man in the NFL Darren McFadden faces one of the fastest defences in the game.
I predict some trickery from the 20 year old.

[W.HI.P]

Don't make a mistake.... over half the teams that are 1-0 at this time will be below .500 after weak 5.
Over half the teams that are 0-1 at this time will be above .500 after week 5.
I've yet to determine all the teams that are giving this year a pass for draft purposes, Bill's Dolphins are clearly one of them though.
Don't be suprised if a few heavy weights look at next year rather than this one.
What ever you do this season, don't buy in to the media...they exist to miss-guide you.

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Oakland Raiders @ Kansas City Chiefs(-6.5)

The Raiders looked pretty weak in week 1, but they did keep Darren off the field.
KC is a whole different story.
All their weapons on defence are in the back, far from the Raiders run.
Low scoring game in which Mcfadden should shine.

Bet on the Oakland Raiders

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San Diego Chargers(-1.5) @ Denver Broncos

I saw what you saw last week with this Broncos offence.
They won't look as impressive against this stacked Chargers defence.
The Chargers are the best team in the game and they should show up in this rivalry.

Bet on the San Diego Chargers

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Pittsburgh Steelers(-7.5) @ Clevland Browns

Last week was Edwards debut on the field for this season, he will make some catches this week.
With Winslow's form, this Browns passing game should take off this week, and they should out-score the Steelers.
I don't know if you saw who's on this Browns DL, but if he manages to jump on top of Ben this weak, he won't be getting up too fast.

Bet on the Clevland Browns

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Philadelphia Eagles @ Dallas Cowboys(-7.5)

I'm not the kind of guy who lays money down on his favorite team for cheering purposes.
These teams are more closely matched than most people think.
The Eagles are in form at this time.
The Cowboys are the bookies money maker this year.
A lot of people are gonna lose a lot of money on Dallas this year.
Monday night game?

Bet on the Philadelphia Eagles

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[lumberjim]

go cowboys

[W.HI.P]

Ummm, LJ ...The Cowboys suck.

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New Orlean Saints(-3.0) @ Washington Redskins

I had to make this addition.
The Saints defence is under par, and their potent offence is missing tools.
How the hell are the Saints favorites in Washington under these circumstances?

Bet on the Washington Redskins

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[W.HI.P]

Ok, well that went well.... but it means nothing without the Eagles!
GOOOOOOO PHILLIE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Actually, all I really want, is for them Rays to hold on to first in the AL East!

[W.HI.P]

Great week overall going 4-1.

McFadden rushed for 164 yards, and he didn't even play the whole game.
They've yet to introduce his trick plays, and his amazing returning abilities.
Keep a close eye on this guy!

I'll make my next addition on Thursday the latest.
I can tell you from now that the Monday night game looks extremely lop-sided.

[W.HI.P]

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Arizona Cardinals @ Washington Redskins(-3.0)

I would have expected a 6.5-7.5 spread.
I still would have bet on Washington.
They're gonna need to win these games if they wanna win this division.

Bet on the Washington Redskins

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New Orlean Saints @ Denver Broncos(-5.5)

This is gonna be close, I think the Saints have a shot at winning this.
5.5 points is quite a bit.

Bet on the New Orlean Saints

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Pittsburgh Steelers @ Philadelphia Eagles(-3.0)

This is about as lop-sided as a football game can get.
Double digit win here.

Bet on the Philadelphia Eagles

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Jacksonville Jaguars @ Indianapolis Colts

The two best teams in this division square off.
It'll be close.... I like the Jaguars D in this.

Bet on the Jacksonville Jaguars

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Clevland Browns @ Baltimore Ravens

The Ravens offence seems less likely here to threaten.
Browns wake up this week.

Bet on the Clevland Browns

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New York Jets @ San Diego Chargers(-9.5)

I thought the Phillie Steelers game was lop-sided.
Here you've got the best team in the NFL, at home against the worst team in the NFL.
Brett, would you fucking retire already, Goddess!

Bet on the San Diego Chargers

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[W.HI.P]

Originally Posted by W.HI.P

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Arizona Cardinals @ Washington Redskins(-3.0)

I would have expected a 6.5-7.5 spread.
I still would have bet on Washington.
They're gonna need to win these games if they wanna win this division.

Bet on the Washington Redskins

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New Orlean Saints @ Denver Broncos(-5.5)

This is gonna be close, I think the Saints have a shot at winning this.
5.5 points is quite a bit.

Bet on the New Orlean Saints

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Pittsburgh Steelers @ Philadelphia Eagles(-3.0)

This is about as lop-sided as a football game can get.
Double digit win here.

Bet on the Philadelphia Eagles

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Jacksonville Jaguars @ Indianapolis Colts

The two best teams in this division square off.
It'll be close.... I like the Jaguars D in this.

Bet on the Jacksonville Jaguars

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Clevland Browns @ Baltimore Ravens

The Ravens offence seems less likely here to threaten.
Browns wake up this week.

Bet on the Clevland Browns

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New York Jets @ San Diego Chargers(-9.5)

I thought the Phillie Steelers game was lop-sided.
Here you've got the best team in the NFL, at home against the worst team in the NFL.
Brett, would you fucking retire already, Goddess!

Bet on the San Diego Chargers

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The spread on the Jaguars at the time was +5.5 while the Browns were +2.5.

I'm considering adding the Raiders +9.5 over the Bills pending on McFadden's condition come game time.
Also The Dolphins +12.5 over the Patriots as NE seems to be without their RB.
I also kinda like the Rams +8.5 over the weak Seahawks.

[W.HI.P]

We had another amazing week at 4-1!
Going on 5-1 with tommorow's easy Chargers win over the Jets and the old man.

[Undertoad]

Which did happen. Good two weeks by you.

[W.HI.P]

Thanks UT, week 3 was very profitable as I quadroupled week 2's wagers.

Overall I'm more interested in the Tampa Bay Rays winning the AL East as it'll be my biggest pay day since the superbowl.

Lets see if we can be as good with week 4:

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Denver Broncos(-9.5) @ Kansas City Chiefs

If KC's gonna win a game in their division this year, this is the one.
The Chiefs have the tools on defence to stop the pass, but not the run.
The Broncos don't have the tools at RB and OL to run the ball effectivley.
The Chiefs offence isn't all that bad.... they should look improved.
With this huge 9.5 point spread, we won't need the Chiefs to actually win this.
This is a good bet!

Bet on the Kansas City Chiefs

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Minnesota Vikings @ Tennesssee Titans(-3.5)

The Titans are not as good as their record shows.
The Vikings run it down the Titans throat in this one.
I can't see how Minnesota can lose this game.

Bet on the Minnesota Vikings

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Washington Redskins @ Dallas Cowboys(-11.5)

The Redskins were built for this game.
Their defence was structured carefully to be able to handle an offence like this.
This game could go either way.
11.5 points makes this the best bet of the week!

Bet on the Washington Redskins

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I may make a further addition for this week in a few days, but these seem to be the best bets at this time.
I'm also gonna add in an overlook on how to bet these games in a defencive system as it has been a while since i've demonstrated how I do it.

[W.HI.P]

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Denver Broncos(-9.5) @ Kansas City Chiefs

If KC's gonna win a game in their division this year, this is the one.
The Chiefs have the tools on defence to stop the pass, but not the run.
The Broncos don't have the tools at RB and OL to run the ball effectivley.
The Chiefs offence isn't all that bad.... they should look improved.
With this huge 9.5 point spread, we won't need the Chiefs to actually win this.
This is a good bet!

Bet on the Kansas City Chiefs

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Minnesota Vikings @ Tennesssee Titans(-3.5)

The Titans are not as good as their record shows.
The Vikings run it down the Titans throat in this one.
I can't see how Minnesota can lose this game.

Bet on the Minnesota Vikings

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Washington Redskins @ Dallas Cowboys(-11.5)

The Redskins were built for this game.
Their defence was structured carefully to be able to handle an offence like this.
This game could go either way.
11.5 points makes this the best bet of the week!

Bet on the Washington Redskins

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I'm gonna make 3 more additions to this week, but I still feel that the 3 already posted are the best bets of the week

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Arizona Cardinals @ New York Jets(-3.0)

Arizona is a better team on both sides of the ball.

Bet on the Arizona Cardinals

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Green Bay Packers(-1.5) @ Tampa Bay Bucs

I feel kind of silly betting on the Bucs as I'm well aware that the Packers are capable of winning this by a large margin.
I'm gonna go with TB anyways as They are at home, and I like what I've seen from the D.
Keep in mind that Favre is ranked #1 of all time in throwing interceptions.

Bet on the Tampa Bay Bucs

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Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers(-6.5)

You got a little taste last week on how bad this Steelers OL is.
The Ravens defence is gonna have a party here.

Bet on the Baltimore Ravens

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Now here's a few examples of how to bet these games defencivly:

First lets list the games numerically listing 1 as highest priority:

1)Redskins
2)Vikings
3)Chiefs
4)Cardinals
5)Ravens
6)Bucs

A straight up way to bet these games without a base is 20 bets, 3 games on each wager:

123
124
125
126
134
135
136
145
146
156
234
235
236
245
246
256
345
346
356
456

$100 a bet X20=$2.000
6 wins would pay you $14.000
5 wins would pay you $7.000
4 wins would pay you $2.800
3 wins would pay you $700

Another way is taking a base. and combing the other 5 games into 10 bets with 3 games a wager:

123
124
125
126
134
135
136
145
146
156

$200 a betX10=$2.000
The base and 5 wins would pay you $14.000
The base and 4 wins would pay you $8.400
The base and 3 wins will pay you $4.800
The base and 2 wins will pay you $1.400

Another way is to take a base and combine it with two other mini-bases into 8 bets, 3 games a bet:

123
124
125
126
134
135
136

$300 a betX7=$2.100
The base and both minibases with 3 wins will pay you $14.700
The base and both minibases with 2 wins will pay you $10.500
The base and both minibases with 1 win will pay you $6.300
The base with 1 minibase and 3 wins will pay you $6.300
The base with 1 minibase and 2 wins will pay you $4.200
The base with 1 minibase and 1 win will pay you $2.100

And finally two bases into 4 combinations, 3 games per bet:

123
124
125
126

$500 a betX4=$2.000
The bases and 4 wins will pay you $14.000
The bases and 3 wins will pay you $10.500
The bases and 2 wins will pay you $7.000
The bases and 1 win will pay you $3.500

BTW...The Rays won the AL East!!!!!!

[W.HI.P]

Another good week going 4-2

Here are the money returns of the $2.000 defencive systems recommended:

1st system = $2.800
2nd system = $4.800
3rd system = $4.200
4th system = $0