Interesting "Laws"

[Lamplighter]

Imma gonna guess...

What if views of IOD are bimodally distributed ( popular vs not-so-popular )

If so, the population of IOD's with less than 1000 views might follow Benford's Law
And, the population of IOD's with more than 1000 views might also follow Benford's Law

So if the graph were drawn with 2 cycles (1-100-1000),
there would be two peaks (bimodal) at the 1's,
each falling off and following the Benford distribution after the 1's.

Otherwise, the IOD's would have to be assumed to be equally popular,
and then the distribution doesn't follow the prediction.

[HungLikeJesus]

Maybe roughly the same number of people look at the IOTD each day. I should probably have picked a different forum to get a wider range. Or maybe most of the views are due to spiders and robots.

[ZenGum]

Note this is page views not number of posts. It is still an interesting result.

Clod, your second paragraph has me persuaded. I think. It feels like when you're wrestling with the anthropocentric principle, that ... wait does this really work? moment. I think it does, as of right now. Thank you.

[HungLikeJesus]

Well, they mentioned addresses, and sometimes those start with 0. And some Zip codes in the US start with 0.

[ZenGum]

You need to convert your zip codes to metric and write them in scientific notation, then.

[Beest]

Dunning-Kruger Effect

The Dunning–Kruger effect is a cognitive bias in which unskilled suffer from illusory superiority, mistakenly rating their ability much higher than average, while the highly skilled underrate their own abilities. This bias is attributed to a metacognitive inability of the unskilled to recognize their mistakes.[1]

Kruger and Dunning proposed that, for a given skill, incompetent people will:

1. tend to overestimate their own level of skill;
2. fail to recognize genuine skill in others;
3. fail to recognize the extremity of their inadequacy;
4. recognize and acknowledge their own previous lack of skill, if they can be trained to substantially improve.

Dumb people who know a little, think they are experts and are certain they are right, experts who know a lot realise how much they don't know and are less sure.

Studies on the Dunning–Kruger effect tend to focus on American test subjects. Similar studies on European subjects show marked muting of the effect[citation needed]; studies on some East Asian subjects suggest that something like the opposite of the Dunning–Kruger effect operates on self-assessment and motivation to improve:

[glatt]

So was Dunning the expert, and Kruger the imbecile, or vice-verse? I want to know the story behind the naming of that one.

[Clodfobble]

Either way I think Kruger-Dunning would have sounded much better.

[footfootfoot]

Gravity.
Not just a good idea; it's the law.

[plthijinx]

boy did i work too hard yesterday on my project bid drawings. when i read this:

It tends to be most accurate when values are distributed across multiple orders of magnitude

i saw this:

It tends to be most accurate when values are disrupted across multiple personality disorders of magma.

i'm not going to work 18 hours in a day again for a while. i hope.

[ZenGum]

DOES NOT COMPUTE! DOES NOT COMPUTE! *head explodes*

[BigV]

heh....

Or, you could just say, "I misspoke." Please don't explode, you're far too entertaining to be spent in one burst of fireworks (pig that special you don't eat all at once...)

[classicman]

If - No number starts with a zero.

Then - 5 x 0 = ? is not possible