Betting tips

[classicman]

effin flyers -

[W.HI.P]

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NHL

Dallas Stars vs San Jose Sharks

Ride on the Sharks.
Should they win the series, you'll get some good money in there.
I can afford a loss should they be eliminated.

Bet on the San Jose Sharks

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MLB

Seattle Mariners @ NY Yankees
Bedard - Wang

Wang won't lose too many games this year, but he's out-classed here.
Bedard is made for facing a team like the Yankees.
Expect double digit K's here.
Low scoring game. JJ Putz closes it out.
It pays well.

Bet on the Seattle Mariners

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Milwakee Brewers @ Houston Astros
Villaneuva - Oswalt

First thing to mention here is Lance Berkman.
The man is out of this world..... Watch him!
Houston is a better team than their record shows and they will climb up.
Oswalt won't get many losses this season.

Bet on the Houston Astros

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Chicago Cubs @ St Louis Cardinals
R.Hill - Wainwright

Hill makes it an amazing 1-2 following home run hitting Zambrano.
Cubs will finish ahead of the Cardinals this year IMO.
Fukodome is coming off a 4/4 day, and thats not by chance.
BTW ... Soriano's back!

Bet on the Chicago Cubs

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LA Dodgers @ Colorado Rockies
B.Penny - J.Francis

This should be interesting, as Francis has really improved this year.
As long as Penny is pitching the way he is, I'll be riding on him.

Bet on the LA Dodgers

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NY Mets @ Arizona Diamondbacks
J.Maine - M.Owings

Possibly the two best teams in the National League.
Byrnes is the man in Arizona while the Mets have plenty of players stepping it up..... Church is certainly worth of mentioning.
Lets not forget, the best player in baseball:Jose Reyes, is now slowly getting in form... Don't expect that form to pause till after the world series.
Maine should do well here, despite pitching in a batters park.

Bet on the New York Mets

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Baltimore Orioles @ LA Angels
J.Guthrie - Jered Weaver

Jered Weaver showed his stuff in his last start... he looks really good!
The Angels line-up is getting hits from all over the place.
The Blue Jays will surpass the Orioles soon enough for 4th place in the A-East..... a huge loosing streak is on the brink for Baltimore.

Bet on the LA Angels

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[W.HI.P]

Ok, that was pretty cool.
San Jose forces game 6!
Penny, Maine, Oswalt and the Cubs won.
Weaver and Bedard with the losses.

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NBA

Detroit Pistons(-8.0) vs Orlando Magic
Series tied 0-0

You gotta like Dwight's Magic here.
Orlando has had some extra rest for this game 1.
-8.0 points are unjust here.

Bet on the Orlando Magic

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New Orlean Hornets(-3.0) vs San Antonio Spurs
Series tied 0-0

Huge differences here.
Chris Paul's Hornets are clearly superior.
San Antonio will do well to take it to game 6.

Bet on the New Orlean Hornets

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NHL

Philadelphia Flyers @ Montreal Canadiens
Flyers lead series 3-1

Game 6 in Phillie seems innevitable.

Bet on the Montreal Canadiens

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MLB

Tampa Bay Rays @ Boston Red Sox
J.Shields - J.Beckett

The Rays go back in 1st with a win here.
Beckett is elite, no doubt.
Shields pitched a complete game shut-out allowing 2 hits and 1 walk against this Red Sox team last Saturday.
The Rays line-up has proven to be impossible to blank.
This win pays a pretty price, take it!

Bet on the Tampa Bay Rays

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[deadbeater]

Zenit and Chelsea all the way, and Wang will be 30-0!! Ha ha take that, WHIP!!

BTW, how well you did on the horses?

[W.HI.P]

Take what? Chelsea's always been my favorite team from the land of Eng.
You wanna back up that silly 30-0 prediction on Wang?
A wager maybe? (Donation to the mug?)

BTW, how well you did on the horses?

You must mean the Kentucky derby.
I didn't touch the race.
Next race i wager on will be in Dubai.

[W.HI.P]

So the Canadiens are out.
That leaves us with the Penguins from the East, and the Sharks from the west.

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NHL

Dallas Stars vs San Jose Sharks
Stars lead series 3-2

Still riding on the Sharks!

Bet on the San Jose Sharks

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NBA

LA Lakers(-7.0) vs Utah Jazz

The Jazz should manage to pull off at least 1 win in at home, but not here.

Bet on the LA Lakers

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MLB

San Fransisco Giants @ Philadelphia Phillies
Lincecum - Hamels

Two amazing young pitchers head to head here.
Although it would seem that Hamels has an easier job facing a weaker line-up.. having seen both of them this year, I'd have to say that Lincecum is in greater form.
This should pay a pretty price as well.

Bet on the San Fransisco Giants

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Chicago White Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays
Contreras - Halladay

Contreras does have bad days, but when he's good, he's amazing!
This very weak blue Jays line-up should be an easy job.
Halladay, although coming off a pretty good outing, is more than likely to allow 5-6 runs here.
Toronto is also the huge favorite here.

Bet on the Chicago White Sox

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Baltimore Orioles @ LA Angels
Trachsel - Saunders

Saunders is now 5-0 with a 2.08 ERA!!
I expect him to continue doing what he's been doing.

Bet on the LA Angels

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New York Mets @ Arizona Diamondbacks
J.Santana - Haren

Haren's numbers at the end of this year will not be as good as last year despite pitching against weaker bats.
Only Webb can pitch gems in Arizona.
J.Santana starts showing his stuff around this time every year.

Bet on the New York Mets

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[W.HI.P]

Ok, so all we have left is the Penguins.

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MLB

Philadelphia Phillies @ Arizona Diamondbacks
J.Moyer - M.Scherzer

You've got to trust me on this one.
Watch this kid Scherzer.
I had the privledge of watching him earlier on this year, and then in his debut a few days ago.
He's got dynamite pitches.
My only concern is how many innings he's gonna last.
He should easily hit 10 k's.

Bet on the Arizona Diamondbacks

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[classicman]

Flyers lose in four!








What? - It worked last series.

[W.HI.P]

I hope so clasicman.

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NBA

Orlando Magic(-3.5) vs Detroit Pistons
Pistons lead the series 2-0

Game 2 was unfair to the Magic.
They'll need to take these 2 home games if they wanna take out the Pistons.
I think they're capable of making it to the next round.

Bet on the Orlando Magic

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LA Lakers(-6.5) vs Utah Jazz
Lakers lead series 1-0

I can't understand why this spread isn't in double digits.
The Lakers are by far superior to this Jazz team.

Bet on the LA Lakers

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Clevland Indians @ NY Yankees
C.Lee - C.Wang

Lee leads all pitchers in baseball.
He has clearly improved since last year, but I do not believe he will remain in the top slot for long.
He is however clearly superior to Mr.Wang.
V.Martinez is also rested for this game and should go yard in this one.

Bet on the Clevland Indians

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NY Mets @ LA Dodgers
Maine - Penny

You won't find me betting against the Mets this year, but against Penny in this one, i'm gonna have to.

Bet on the LA Dodgers

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Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays
Garza - Marcum

I can't see how the Blue Jays are gonna avoid another sweep from the Rays... their best chance came in Burnet's start against Sonnastine.
Garza will only get better as time goes by.

Bet on the Tampa Bay Rays

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[W.HI.P]

The Mets killed Penny hurting my fantasy stats
Lee remains the #1 ranked pitcher in baseball by blanking the yankees and serving Wang his 1st loss of the season.
Orlando made things right by winning game 3, and the Lakers so far are killing the Jazz.

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NBA

San Antonio Spurs(-6.5) vs New Orlean Hornets

You have to go with the superior team here.
The Spurs may win one of these next two games but 6.5 points is a gift.

Bet on the New Orlean Hornets

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NHL

Detroit Red Wings vs Dallas Stars

You're gonna have to go with the rested Wings here.
The Stars have just gone through 14 games against the two toughest teams in the game.

Bet on the Detroit Red Wings

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MLB

Boston Red Sox @ Detroit Tigers
Beckett - Verlander

Although off to a slow start, Verlander is an elite pitcher.
The Tigers are clearly a superior team to the aging Sox.

Bet on the Detroit Tigers

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Philadelphia Phillies @ Arizona Diamondbacks
Myers - Webb

I do expect Arizona to go in a slump, but its not gonna start with Webb.... He's way too good.

Bet on the Arizona Diamondbacks

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[W.HI.P]

Everything won so far but Verlander.

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NBA

Utah Jazz(-4.0) vs LA Lakers

lol @ the Jazz being 4.0 point favorites here.

Bet on the LA Lakers

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Pittsburgh Penguins vs Philadelphia Flyers

At least in this game 1 in Pittsburgh, you gotta like the Penguins.

Bet on the Pittsburgh Penguins

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MLB

Toronto Blue Jays @ Clevland Indians
Halladay - Sabathia

The line-ups are leagues apart.
Sabathia is also a better pitcher than the Doc.

Bet on the Clevland Indians

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Baltimore Orioles @ Kansas City Royals
Trachsel - Meche

Meche came back to his old self in his last start.
You can expect him to continue his good showing against this weak team.

Bet on the Kansas City Royals

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Colorado Rockies @ San Diego Padres
Cook - Peavy

Betting against Peavy so far this year has paid off.
No reason to stop now with these kind of odds.
Cook can have another quality start against the weakest line-up in the game.

Bet on the Colorado Rockies

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Chicago White Sox @ Seattle Mariners
Contreras - Silva

I like what I've seen from Contreras so far.
He is capable of blanking a team like Seattle on a good day.
The white sox bats are on fire and will innevitably score.

Bet on the Chicago White Sox

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[W.HI.P]

The Penguins won!
Sabathia beat Halladay!
KC lost.
The Jazz got one back
The White Sox and the Rockies are both winning!
A great day overall, I do need Peavy to lose as I have used that game as my base.
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NBA

Orlando Magic(-4.5) vs Detroit Pistons
Pistons lead series 2-1

I bet the you that the magic, will not only win this game, but will also win the series.

Bet on the Orlando Magic

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NHL

Detroit Red Wings vs Dallas Stars
Red Wings lead series 1-0

I gotta feel hesitant goind against the Stars, but the fact is, the team remains beat up and tired.
The Red Wings look like the superior team despite Dallas's bruises.

Bet on the Detroit Red Wings

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MLB

Cincinnati Reds @ New York Mets
M.Belisle - J.Santana

I feel weird betting on Johan, as betting against him these past 2 years has been my bread and butter.
He's with the Mets now, and against a pretty weak team.

Bet on the New York Mets

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Philadelphia Phillies @ San Fransisco Giants
J.Moyer - T.Lincecum

I'm 100% on Lincecum's games this year, riding on him, and taking his only loss of the season.
He won't be loosing much at all this year, so we're back to riding on him.

Bet on the San Fransisco Giants

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[Clodfobble]

I absolutely buy your theory, W.HI.P, but I think you have cause & effect switched.

It's not that the games are rigged to end in the way that will be most profitable for the bookies. It's that the bookies know what they're doing, and thus are setting themselves up to be profitable based on what they know to be the most likely outcome (in this case, a draw.) It's not a conspiracy, it's just good business decisions.

[W.HI.P]

I'm glad I didn't go to the Angels@Blue Jays game as Ervin Santana is pitching in Saunders place.

Originally Posted by Clodfobble

I absolutely buy your theory, W.HI.P, but I think you have cause & effect switched.

It's not that the games are rigged to end in the way that will be most profitable for the bookies. It's that the bookies know what they're doing, and thus are setting themselves up to be profitable based on what they know to be the most likely outcome (in this case, a draw.) It's not a conspiracy, it's just good business decisions.

It is wise to collect the bets of the masses, yes.

Take a step back and open your mind......

When I speak of the money collectors, its not the dude you call up on the phone.
I speak of a group of people who collect the majority of wagers world-wide.

When the amount of money wagered is greater than the value of all organizations involved, it becomes suspect.

At close examination of all of the highest wagered events these past 12 years, we'll find the exact same thing, over and over again:

The masses lose.

That is what I take advantage of.
Betting against highly wagered events, on the bet where the masses lose.
In Soccer, its the draw.
in the NFL, its the loss of the team being bombarded by the media.
You see, its that media that influences the masses in their bets.
The media always guides the masses away from the winning bet.
They just sweep up all the money.

Here are some recent examples:

NFL
2007-2008
New England Patriots
Dallas Cowboys
Green Bay Packers

2006-2007
Baltimore Ravens
New Orlean Saints
New England Patriots

Here were 2 of the most extreme cases:

Horse-racing
1991 Derby(Royal Ascot)

Odds on favorite Tenby.

A tiny, quick horse, bombarded by the media, while in reality as proven after the derby, was a small calibure horse, who could not win out against Reverley's Opera House, or White Muzzle.

Soccer
2000 Euro

Holland

This was probably the most extreme brain-washing I've ever seen.
All European countries were bombared by the Media about Holland playing at home, showing Orange colours all the time, Rud this and Van Nistlroy that......
Every single person watching the Euro was convinced that Holland would win it all.

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This world is built on deception.
Credit, mortages, the stock market, placing invesments within the bank
All these systems are built to keep the masses down.
To maintain control, power.
Tying up your money, your power.
Money makes money.

[W.HI.P]

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MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago Cubs
Z.Duke vs C.Zambrano

If Soriano, Lee, Ramirez, Fukudome and Soto, can't get runs up, Zambrano can.
He'll certainly be shutting out the Pirates today.

Bet on the Chicago Cubs

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Clevland Indians vs Texas Rangers
F.Carmona - K.Gabbard

Don't start getting all excited about the Rangers, its not happening.
Carmona is of the absolute elite, and will not get beat up by this line-up.
Martinez and Hafner will get it going.

Bet on the Clevland Indians

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Toronto Blue Jays vs Kansas City Royals
R.Halladay - Z.Grienke

There is no comparing these two pitchers.
Grienke is superior, despite what the locals think.
Both line-ups are weak, and the price is very high.

Bet on the Kansas City Royals

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Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles
M.Garza - J.Guthrie

Do you see what I see? (Do you see what I see?)
The Rays, the Rays, winning the AL East.
With Kazmir, Shields and Percival.
With Crawford, Upton, Pena and Longoria.

Bet on the Tampa Bay Rays

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Chicago White Sox vs LA Angels
G.Floyd - J.Saunders

It won't be as easy as the Blue Jays for Saunders as the White sox have some bats.
Floyd has also been pitching some gems this year.
Guerrero's back to hitting home runs, and Figgins is back in the line-up.

Bet on the LA Angels

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