Obama has won the nomination

[Urbane Guerrilla]

Originally Posted by Radar

. . .but I'd take an illiterate crack whore over any Republican.

It's cracks like this that tell me you have a lot to learn about being a political man, Radar. A lot. And you had such a good chance at it, too. At least I think being rather well placed in the regional Libertarian Party might have been a good chance. Was it somehow not so? Or did such seeds as fell really only scatter upon rocky ground?

The Republicans, at least, are often doing things -- chiefly in foreign policy -- that I recognize as wisdom. At this moment I'm sure you're scoffing, but with time, I think you will recognize that however little credit this Administration is being given, whether GWB is comparable to a Reagan or to a Truman (per T.P.M. Barnett), this Administration will be the one that began the joining of the Non-Integrating, economically- and security-disconnected Gap into the richer life of the world's Economically Functional Core.

[tw]

Originally Posted by Urbane Guerrilla

The Republicans, at least, are often doing things -- chiefly in foreign policy -- that I recognize as wisdom. At this moment I'm sure you're scoffing, but with time, I think you will recognize that however little credit this Administration is being given, whether GWB is comparable to a Reagan or to a Truman (per T.P.M. Barnett), this Administration will be the one that began the joining of the Non-Integrating, economically- and security-disconnected Gap into the richer life of the world's Economically Functional Core.

Anyone is invited to translate, empathize, clarify, or vindicate that paragraph.

[xoxoxoBruce]

Don't be silly, we just use him as a bellweather of how crazy the extreme right is at the moment.

[Radar]

Originally Posted by Urbane Guerrilla

The Republicans, at least, are often doing things -- chiefly in foreign policy -- that I recognize as wisdom. At this moment I'm sure you're scoffing, but with time, I think you will recognize that however little credit this Administration is being given, whether GWB is comparable to a Reagan or to a Truman (per T.P.M. Barnett), this Administration will be the one that began the joining of the Non-Integrating, economically- and security-disconnected Gap into the richer life of the world's Economically Functional Core.

The Republicans are indeed doing things with foreign policy. Specifically they are starting unprovoked, unwarranted, unnecessary and unconstitutional wars of aggression against nations that posed no threat to ours, didn't attack ours, and had no connection to those who did. Wars that have resulted in the deaths of more than 4,000 Americans, a million Iraqi people, thousands of our allies, etc. Wars that have nothing to do with defending America but will ensure that Americans will be born into debt for the next 10 generations. Republicans have made America the scourge of the world even among our allies, and made us known around the world for being the most dangerous rogue nation. Republicans have made our government a laughing stock everywhere. Republicans have made the dollar worthless, pushed up the cost of everything through the price of oil, have wrecked our economy, have infringed on our freedoms, violated the Constitution, emboldened our enemies, recruited terrorists, given a valid reason for people to hate us, etc.

I'd say you're right. The Republicans have been pretty damned busy. I'd rather have someone who wasn't to busy, though it may take the next 4 or 5 presidents to undo the damage this one has caused.

[Undertoad]

I will do this in the fashion of W.Hi.P. Betting Tips.

Democratic nomination

Barry Obama v Hill Clinton @ Pennsylvania

Clinton is heavily favored in this state, by 20 points, and has been for months. However, she has just "hit the wall"; a combination of unfavorability trends is working against her; and she has nearly run out of money, according to some sources. Meanwhile Obama is saturation-bombing the airwaves of PA. Polls are starting to narrow the gap and there are three weeks left.

Bet on Obama to win Pennsylvania = Currently $3 to make $10 @ Intrade

Bet on Clinton to drop out after Pennsylvania = not wagered at Intrade, but predicted by UT anyway

[elSicomoro]

From Larry Eichel at philly.com:

nd there's a fourth poll just in, this one from the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

This poll has Clinton up by 9 points. The previous version had her ahead by 12. So, again, there's movement toward Obama, but not much in this one.

In the past two days, there've been three new polls in the Pennsylvania primary. And all of them show movement in Barack Obama's direction.

The movement almost surely reflects a combination of factors -- Obama's having spent six straight days in the state, his huge television buy, and the fallout from the controversy over Hillary Rodham Clinton's overstatement of how much danger she faced as First Lady landing in Bosnia in 1996.

In the Rasmussen Reports poll, Clinton leads by 5 points. She'd been up 10 in the same poll last week.

In the Survey USA poll, she's up 12. She's been up 19 in the same poll three weeks earlier.

The latest survey, from Public Policy Polling, actually has Obama ahead by 2 points, although that is well within the poll's margin of error. It's hard to know what to make of this one. Two-and-a-half weeks ago, the same company had Clinton ahead by 26, which is much the largest margin recorded in any Pennsylvania poll in the last few months.

Dean Debham, the company president, speculates that the movement "could be an indication that Democrats in that state think it's time to wrap it up." But the poll did not ask a question that would confirm such thinking.

The bottom line? It's safe to say Obama is gaining ground and that Clinton's hopes for a double-digit win in the state seem like more of a long-shot than a week ago. Beyond that, well, there are still 20 days to go.

[Griff]

She's dropping faster than Bill's drawers at a Delta Zeta party.

[elSicomoro]

Is that the ugly sorority at Binghamton?

[TheMercenary]

So Bill Cliton shows his true colors. If she could get reid of that fucker she might have had a chance. I really think if she divorced him she would have a better chance of being elected.

[tw]

Originally Posted by TheMercenary

If she could get reid of that fucker she might have had a chance.

Bill exonerated to become a Senator from Nevada?

[TheMercenary]

Originally Posted by tw

Bill exonerated to become a Senator from Nevada?

I don't care what Bill does. If any state is stupid enough to elect him a Senator that is their problem. I mean look at NY.

[smoothmoniker]

She'd lose remaining black voters.

[deadbeater]

Really now? GHWB will be compared with James Buchanan, and unfavorably at that.

GHWB is reviving the Cold War with Russia, stopped cold in his imperialist war vs the axis of evil only when North Korea announced they got nukes, and played kissyfoot with China and Saudi Arabia when elements of these two countries are wreaking the most havoc around the world, militarily and financially.

[Undertoad]

UG is just as impervious to counter-wisdom as you are, t.

[Urbane Guerrilla]

Radar, read Thomas P.M. Barnett's works, both of them, and get a clue why I didn't even finish your post before replying.

Hell, son, tw of all people has read at least one of the two.