Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)

[Undertoad]

Most excellent update on the IHME models website which everyone is using

Overall US:
- # of deaths projected decreased from 93,531 to 81,766
- Projected total bed shortage went from 87,674 to 36,654
- Peak dates(April 15 for resource needed peak, 16th for peak daily death toll) unchanged
- Under 200 deaths a day: Moved from June 3 to May 18

[Griff]

Much better trajectory!

[tw]

Originally Posted by Undertoad

Most excellent update on the IHME models website which everyone is using

Chart demonstrated one critical fact. Once major urban regions were locked down, then the acceleration of that curve slowed three weeks later. This infection requires at least two weeks to appear in victims.

So what happened when 'remain at home' orders are removed? A majority still do not have antibodies to protect them. And then, weeks later, many more are infected? And then, two weeks after that, those curves start climbing again?

Predictions do not discuss what will happen once everyone no longer remains isolated at home. Over 60% of us must suffer this virus and create antibodies before this pandemic ends.