Got enough information?

[russotto]

Originally posted by MaggieL

OK, hypothetical scenario: a low-yield fission bomb, say tens of kilotons, detonates at ground-level in Tel Aviv. No aircraft or missles were tracked incoming before the strike. Isotope analysis fails to identify the source of the fissionables.

If my name were Saddam Hussein, I wouldn't trust that Israeli intelligence WOULDN'T figure out the source of the fissionables. It's not like there's really more than two viable possibilities (Pakistan being the other). I also wouldn't trust that the nuked Israelis wouldn't nuke me back even without hard evidence.