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Old 01-24-2010, 10:33 PM   #8
tw
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Join Date: Jan 2001
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Quote:
Originally Posted by richlevy View Post
Almost everyone in that region is out to get them.
Jordan? Egypt? Saudi Arabia?

Not likely. Hezbollah only exists and how influence because of Israel's actions. And since Israel’s botched invasion, Hezbollah has never been more powerful and popular.

More interesting was an hour long discussion on Charlie Rose by a Saudi family member. Insight into the world like few have which is why Charlie spent the entire hour only on that interview.

A Middle East peace is stuck on but a few minor points – according to him. However Hezbollah is a problem. Contrary to popular beliefs, Hezbollah remains an independent organization. As influenced by Iran as Israel is controlled by the US. Independent enough that negotiation with Hezbollah are probably necessary to create any useful peace.

Hezbollah has always been available to negotiation. But Hezbollah needs an honest party to negotiate with. Netanyahu is not considered an honest negotiator – which was made even bluntly obvious in his discussion with Sen George Mitchell.

The hype of fear created by those rockets gives Hezbollah credibility. What is the greatest threat to those rockets? A peace settlement that includes Hezbollah as another party.

Of course, no solution is possible as long as the most contentious issue remains - West Bank settlements.

Also interesting (which explains Egypt's recent actions) is Hamas. As the Saudi noted, a peace settlement is easy. Just ignore Hamas. That could completely destroy Hamas. But only if Israel negotiates with the Palestinian Authority in a responsible manner - which was not happening.

That is Mitchell's task. To establish negotiators that have credibility among the counter parties. And yes, many counter parties exist making his task complex.
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